Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod | 100% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 Winner | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Match O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 Winner | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Match O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Match O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Completed Match | 0% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod. This market refers to the tennis match between Max Hans Rehberg and Jakub Nicod in the Prague 2, originally scheduled for August 17, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Max Hans Rehberg' …
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Trade Prague 2: Max Hans Rehberg vs Jakub Nicod on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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