Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Salzburg O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Salzburg 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| FC Salzburg (-1.5) | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg (-1.5) | 0% |
| FC Salzburg (-2.5) | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg (-2.5) | 0% |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% |
| O/U 5.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Salzburg O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| FC Salzburg O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Salzburg 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| FC Salzburg 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| FC Salzburg 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| TSV Hartberg 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
FC Salzburg’s match against TSV Hartberg is priced on Polymarket at **0% YES** for the “More markets” contract, so the market is effectively saying there is no traded expectation that the relevant extra conditions will resolve in the affirmative before the 2026-08-01 17:30 UTC settlement window closes. On Polymarket, that price is just the crowd view on a conditional token settled in USDC on Polygon, not a statement about the football result itself.
History gives this sort of reading some context: Salzburg has dominated the head-to-head, with several databases showing 18 wins and 4 draws across 22 meetings, and no Hartberg win in that sample[2][4]. The most recent league meeting before this fixture ended 3-1 to Hartberg in May 2026, but Salzburg also held Hartberg to 0-0 in March, so recent outcomes have not been uniformly one-sided[13][18]. That mixed short-run pattern matters for “more markets” contracts, because ancillary propositions can hinge on line-ups, scoring patterns, cards, corners, or other match-state details rather than simple winner selection.
The main catalysts a trader should watch are the official team sheets, late injury or rotation news, and any changes to the match’s scheduling or settlement-relevant rules from the market creator before kick-off. Salzburg’s early-August competitive schedule and the fact that Hartberg have already logged recent league and cup fixtures mean minutes management, substitutions, and tactical approach could change the shape of the statistics that feed related markets[13]. If the contract is tied to a specific opt-in data source, the final settlement will depend on that feed’s post-match reporting rather than on live sentiment.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Salzburg vs. TSV Hartberg - More Markets on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →