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Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 92% Cruzeiro EC O/U 0.5 83% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 76% O/U 1.5 73% Volume: $85K Liquidity: $1.0M Closes: 9 Aug 2026
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Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.592%
Cruzeiro EC O/U 0.583%
2nd Half O/U 0.576%
O/U 1.573%
1st Half O/U 0.569%
Cruzeiro EC 2nd Half O/U 0.563%
Mirassol FC O/U 0.557%
Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 0.555%
Cruzeiro EC O/U 1.552%
Both Teams to Score49%
O/U 2.548%
2nd Half O/U 1.543%
Mirassol FC 2nd Half O/U 0.539%
Cruzeiro EC (-1.5)32%
1st Half O/U 1.532%
Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 0.531%
O/U 3.526%
Cruzeiro EC 2nd Half O/U 1.526%
Cruzeiro EC O/U 2.525%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half24%
Mirassol FC O/U 1.520%
Cruzeiro EC 1st Half O/U 1.518%
2nd Half O/U 2.518%
Both Teams to Score in First Half17%
Cruzeiro EC (-2.5)14%
O/U 4.512%
1st Half O/U 2.511%
Mirassol FC 2nd Half O/U 1.510%
Mirassol FC (-1.5)5%
O/U 5.55%
Mirassol FC O/U 2.55%
Mirassol FC 1st Half O/U 1.55%
Mirassol FC (-2.5)1%

Market context

Market consensus: 92% chance of cruzeiro ec vs. mirassol fc - more markets. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. More markets for the Brazil Série A game, scheduled for August 9 at 10:00 AM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews Cruzeiro EC vs. Mirassol FC - More Markets across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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