Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
90% | 10% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
90% | 10% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 90% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 90% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 84% |
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| O/U 37.5 | 72% |
| O/U 39.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 12.5 | 69% |
| Colorado O/U 16.5 | 67% |
| Baylor O/U 27.5 | 65% |
| Spread -1.5 | 63% |
| O/U 41.5 | 60% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 60% |
| Spread -2.5 | 59% |
| O/U 43.5 | 56% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 56% |
| Colorado O/U 19.5 | 56% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 56% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 55% |
| Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 25.5 | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 28.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 1H O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 2H O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Colorado O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Colorado Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Baylor Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Baylor O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 49% |
| O/U 45.5 | 48% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 47% |
| Spread -5.5 | 46% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 46% |
| Spread -6.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 45% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 45% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 45% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 44% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| O/U 47.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 41% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 39% |
| Spread -7.5 | 38% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 37% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 36% |
| Colorado vs. Baylor | 35% |
| Spread -8.5 | 34% |
| Baylor O/U 30.5 | 34% |
| O/U 57.5 | 33% |
| Spread -9.5 | 32% |
| O/U 49.5 | 32% |
| O/U 61.5 | 32% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 67.5 | 31% |
| O/U 69.5 | 31% |
| O/U 63.5 | 30% |
| O/U 73.5 | 30% |
| O/U 75.5 | 30% |
| O/U 51.5 | 29% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 28% |
| Spread -13.5 | 27% |
| O/U 53.5 | 27% |
| Spread -11.5 | 26% |
| Baylor O/U 33.5 | 26% |
| Spread -3.5 | 25% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 25% |
| Spread -4.5 | 24% |
| Spread -12.5 | 24% |
| O/U 55.5 | 21% |
| Spread -14.5 | 20% |
| Spread -15.5 | 19% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 19% |
| Spread -6.5 | 18% |
| Spread -16.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Spread -7.5 | 15% |
| Spread -17.5 | 14% |
| Spread -18.5 | 13% |
| O/U 59.5 | 13% |
| Spread -20.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 11% |
| 1Q Spread -0.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -1.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Spread -23.5 | 8% |
| O/U 65.5 | 7% |
| O/U 71.5 | 7% |
| Spread -24.5 | 6% |
| Spread -26.5 | 6% |
| Spread -30.5 | 6% |
| Spread -27.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 90% chance of colorado vs. baylor. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Colorado and Baylor, scheduled for September 26 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado" if Colorado win the game. This m…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $220K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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Trade Colorado vs. Baylor on PolyGram
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