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Fresno State vs. San Diego State

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Fresno State vs. San Diego State" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 35.5 100% O/U 37.5 100% O/U 39.5 100% O/U 41.5 100% Volume: $226K Liquidity: $680K Closes: 18 Oct 2026
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Fresno State vs. San Diego State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 45.5100%
1H O/U 21.5100%
1H O/U 24.5100%
1Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
San Diego State 1H O/U 12.5100%
San Diego State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H100%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Moneyline100%
3Q Moneyline100%
O/U 47.599%
2H Moneyline82%
O/U 49.577%
Fresno State O/U 20.577%
Spread -0.571%
Spread -0.570%
Fresno State O/U 23.565%
O/U 51.557%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State56%
San Diego State O/U 23.554%
4Q O/U 7.551%
4Q O/U 10.551%
4Q O/U 13.551%
Spread -2.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -20.550%
O/U 69.550%
O/U 71.550%
O/U 73.550%
O/U 75.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
4Q O/U 16.550%
4Q O/U 19.550%
Fresno State O/U 26.550%
Fresno State O/U 29.550%
Fresno State O/U 32.550%
San Diego State O/U 26.550%
San Diego State O/U 29.550%
San Diego State O/U 32.550%
San Diego State O/U 35.550%
Fresno State 2H O/U 11.550%
Fresno State 2H O/U 13.550%
Fresno State 2H O/U 15.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 12.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 14.550%
San Diego State 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Game Goes to Overtime50%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Fresno State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
San Diego State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Fresno State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
San Diego State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
San Diego State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Fresno State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
San Diego State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Fresno State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
San Diego State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Fresno State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Fresno State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
San Diego State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Fresno State vs. San Diego State: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
Fresno State O/U 3.550%
San Diego State O/U 2.550%
Fresno State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.549%
Spread -1.548%
Spread -1.546%
Spread -2.543%
4Q Moneyline41%
O/U 53.539%
O/U 55.539%
Spread -3.521%
O/U 57.520%
Spread -5.518%
Spread -3.517%
Spread -4.517%
Spread -5.516%
Spread -4.516%
Spread -6.515%
Spread -6.513%
O/U 59.513%
O/U 61.513%
4Q Spread -3.513%
Spread -8.511%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q39%
O/U 63.58%
O/U 65.56%
O/U 67.56%
Spread -7.53%
Spread -13.53%
Spread -14.52%
Spread -13.52%
Spread -7.52%
Spread -10.52%
Spread -17.51%
Spread -16.51%
Spread -10.51%
Spread -8.51%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -14.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 11.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 13.50%
Fresno State 1H O/U 15.50%
San Diego State 1H O/U 16.50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
1H Spread -9.50%
1H Spread -7.50%
1H Spread -6.50%
1H Spread -5.50%
1H Spread -4.50%
1H Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
2Q Spread -7.50%
2Q Spread -5.50%
2Q Spread -4.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to fresno state vs. san diego state. In the upcoming college football game between Fresno State and San Diego State, scheduled for October 17 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Fresno State" if Fresno State win the game. This ma…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 35.5 at 100% for "Fresno State vs. San Diego State".

O/U 35.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $226K.

Methodology

This page reviews Fresno State vs. San Diego State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports