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Mississippi State vs. LSU

Five-platform snapshot of "Mississippi State vs. LSU" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 37.5 92% O/U 35.5 91% Spread -0.5 88% LSU O/U 23.5 88% Volume: $477K Liquidity: $2.3M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
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Mississippi State vs. LSU

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 37.592%
O/U 35.591%
Spread -0.588%
LSU O/U 23.588%
Spread -1.587%
O/U 39.587%
O/U 41.585%
2Q O/U 7.585%
Spread -2.584%
Spread -3.582%
Spread -4.580%
Spread -5.578%
Spread -6.578%
O/U 43.578%
O/U 45.575%
2Q O/U 10.573%
Spread -7.572%
O/U 47.572%
4Q O/U 7.571%
1Q O/U 7.569%
2H Spread -2.569%
O/U 49.568%
3Q O/U 7.568%
1H Spread -4.568%
Spread -10.566%
2Q O/U 13.566%
2Q Spread -2.566%
LSU 1H O/U 16.565%
Spread -8.564%
Spread -12.564%
1H Spread -6.564%
Spread -13.563%
O/U 51.562%
1H O/U 33.562%
1Q Spread -2.562%
2H Spread -4.560%
2Q Spread -3.560%
Spread -14.559%
4Q O/U 10.559%
3Q Spread -2.559%
1Q Moneyline59%
O/U 53.557%
1H Spread -7.557%
Spread -16.556%
1H Spread -8.556%
2H Spread -6.556%
1H O/U 27.555%
3Q O/U 10.555%
1Q O/U 10.554%
LSU O/U 35.554%
1H Spread -9.554%
1Q Spread -3.554%
4Q Spread -2.554%
2Q O/U 16.553%
2Q Spread -4.553%
4Q O/U 13.552%
3Q Spread -3.552%
Spread -17.551%
O/U 55.551%
1Q Spread -4.551%
Mississippi State O/U 2.551%
LSU O/U 4.551%
Spread -20.550%
Spread -17.550%
Spread -16.550%
Spread -14.550%
Spread -8.550%
1H O/U 21.550%
1H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
Mississippi State O/U 26.550%
Mississippi State O/U 29.550%
Mississippi State O/U 32.550%
LSU O/U 26.550%
LSU O/U 29.550%
LSU O/U 32.550%
Mississippi State 1H O/U 11.550%
Mississippi State 1H O/U 15.550%
LSU 1H O/U 12.550%
LSU 1H O/U 14.550%
Mississippi State 2H O/U 11.550%
Mississippi State 2H O/U 13.550%
Mississippi State 2H O/U 15.550%
LSU 2H O/U 12.550%
LSU 2H O/U 14.550%
LSU 2H O/U 16.550%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q150%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q450%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q250%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q350%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q150%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q350%
Pick-Six Scored50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q450%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown50%
Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.550%
Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.550%
Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.550%
LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
Mississippi State Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.550%
LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.550%
LSU Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.550%
Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
Mississippi State Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.550%
LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.550%
LSU Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.550%
Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
Mississippi State Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.550%
LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.550%
LSU Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.550%
Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
Mississippi State Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.550%
LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.550%
LSU Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.550%
Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
LSU 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
Mississippi State Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 1.550%
LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
LSU Field Goals Made: O/U 2.550%
Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
LSU Total Receptions: O/U 14.550%
Mississippi State Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
LSU Total Receptions: O/U 24.550%
LSU Total Receptions: O/U 19.550%
Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
Mississippi State Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
LSU Total First Downs: O/U 23.550%
LSU Total First Downs: O/U 21.550%
LSU Total First Downs: O/U 19.550%
Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.550%
Mississippi State vs. LSU: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -5.550%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -4.550%
3Q Spread -5.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -5.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Moneyline50%
1Q O/U 13.549%
3Q O/U 13.549%
Game Goes to Overtime48%
2H Spread -7.548%
4Q Spread -3.548%
2H O/U 27.547%
O/U 57.546%
Spread -20.545%
1H O/U 30.545%
2H Spread -9.544%
Mississippi State O/U 20.543%
1H Spread -11.543%
O/U 59.540%
2Q O/U 19.539%
2Q Spread -7.538%
O/U 61.536%
2H O/U 30.535%
Mississippi State O/U 23.534%
4Q O/U 16.533%
O/U 63.532%
Mississippi State 1H O/U 13.532%
1Q O/U 16.530%
3Q O/U 16.530%
O/U 65.528%
1Q Spread -7.527%
3Q Spread -7.527%
4Q O/U 19.525%
O/U 67.523%
3Q O/U 19.522%
O/U 69.521%
1Q O/U 19.520%
1H Moneyline19%
O/U 71.518%
O/U 73.514%
O/U 75.513%
Mississippi State vs. LSU12%
Spread -1.512%
Spread -0.512%
Spread -2.511%
Spread -5.58%
Spread -4.58%
Spread -3.58%
Spread -6.57%
Spread -7.55%
Spread -13.53%
Spread -10.53%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 92% YES probability for Mississippi State vs. LSU. In the upcoming college football game between Mississippi State and LSU, scheduled for October 17 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Mississippi State" if Mississippi State win the game. This…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 37.5 at 92% for "Mississippi State vs. LSU".

O/U 37.5 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $477K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

Sports