Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Oregon vs. USC — Live Probability Forecast | Polymarket 2026

Name: Oregon vs. USC
Start: 2026-09-21T20:11:52.000Z
End: 2026-09-26T23:30:00.000Z

Platform comparison

Platform	YES odds	NO odds	Fee	KYC	Settlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker)	82%	18%	0% (USDC on-chain)	No-KYC up to $1,500	USDC, auto via UMA oracle	Open the market →
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com	82%	18%	0%	Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU	USDC, on-chain	Open the market →
Kalshi kalshi.com	—	—	Up to 7% per trade	US-only, KYC required	USD	Open the market →
Betfair Exchange betfair.com	—	—	2-5% commission	Full KYC from first trade	GBP / EUR	Open the market →
Manifold Markets manifold.markets	—	—	Play-money (mana)	None — play-money	Mana (no cash-out)	Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

Outcome	Probability
O/U 46.5	82%
O/U 54.5	81%
O/U 52.5	74%
1Q O/U 7.5	73%
3Q O/U 7.5	68%
Oregon O/U 27.5	68%
4Q O/U 12.5	67%
Oregon vs. USC	64%
Spread -8.5	64%
Spread -0.5	63%
Spread -1.5	62%
1Q O/U 10.5	62%
Spread -12.5	61%
Spread -2.5	59%
O/U 58.5	58%
1H Moneyline	58%
Oregon O/U 30.5	57%
2H O/U 31.5	56%
1Q O/U 13.5	56%
1H Spread -0.5	55%
3Q O/U 10.5	55%
Spread -12.5	53%
1H Spread -1.5	53%
2H O/U 34.5	53%
2H O/U 37.5	53%
USC O/U 27.5	53%
Oregon 1H O/U 15.5	53%
1Q Moneyline	53%
O/U 60.5	52%
3Q O/U 13.5	52%
Spread -3.5	51%
O/U 48.5	51%
2H O/U 25.5	51%
2H O/U 28.5	51%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown	51%
Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	51%
Spread -24.5	50%
Spread -21.5	50%
Spread -20.5	50%
Spread -18.5	50%
Spread -17.5	50%
O/U 42.5	50%
O/U 44.5	50%
O/U 50.5	50%
O/U 56.5	50%
O/U 74.5	50%
O/U 78.5	50%
O/U 80.5	50%
1H O/U 25.5	50%
1H O/U 28.5	50%
2H Spread -5.5	50%
2H Spread -3.5	50%
2H Spread -2.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
2H Spread -0.5	50%
2H Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
1Q Spread -0.5	50%
1Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -5.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q Spread -0.5	50%
2Q Spread -1.5	50%
2Q O/U 11.5	50%
2Q O/U 14.5	50%
2Q O/U 17.5	50%
3Q Spread -5.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
3Q Spread -0.5	50%
3Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -5.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q Spread -0.5	50%
4Q Spread -1.5	50%
4Q O/U 9.5	50%
4Q O/U 15.5	50%
4Q O/U 18.5	50%
4Q O/U 21.5	50%
Oregon O/U 33.5	50%
Oregon O/U 36.5	50%
Oregon O/U 39.5	50%
USC O/U 24.5	50%
USC O/U 33.5	50%
USC O/U 36.5	50%
Oregon 1H O/U 19.5	50%
USC 1H O/U 12.5	50%
USC 1H O/U 14.5	50%
Oregon 2H O/U 14.5	50%
Oregon 2H O/U 16.5	50%
Oregon 2H O/U 18.5	50%
USC 2H O/U 12.5	50%
USC 2H O/U 14.5	50%
USC 2H O/U 16.5	50%
2H Moneyline	50%
Oregon O/U 4.5	50%
USC O/U 3.5	50%
2Q Moneyline	50%
3Q Moneyline	50%
4Q Moneyline	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q1	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q2	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q3	50%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q4	50%
Game Goes to Overtime	50%
Oregon vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5	50%
Pick-Six Scored	50%
Oregon vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5	50%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown	50%
Oregon vs. USC: Total Touchdowns O/U 8.5	50%
Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5	50%
Oregon Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5	50%
USC Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5	50%
Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Oregon Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5	50%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5	50%
Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
USC Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5	50%
Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
Oregon Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5	50%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5	50%
USC Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5	50%
Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5	50%
Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5	50%
Oregon Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
USC Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5	50%
Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Oregon 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
USC 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5	50%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Oregon Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5	50%
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
USC Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5	50%
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Oregon Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 14.5	50%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 19.5	50%
Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
USC Total Receptions: O/U 24.5	50%
Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
Oregon Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 19.5	50%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 21.5	50%
USC Total First Downs: O/U 23.5	50%
Oregon vs. USC: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Oregon vs. USC: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5	50%
Oregon vs. USC: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5	50%
Spread -4.5	47%
2Q Spread -2.5	47%
USC 1H O/U 16.5	46%
Spread -5.5	45%
O/U 62.5	45%
1H Spread -3.5	45%
1H O/U 31.5	45%
3Q Spread -2.5	45%
O/U 64.5	43%
1Q Spread -0.5	43%
Spread -6.5	42%
USC O/U 30.5	42%
4Q Spread -2.5	41%
Oregon 1H O/U 17.5	41%
1H Spread -0.5	39%
2Q Spread -3.5	38%
2Q O/U 20.5	38%
3Q Spread -3.5	38%
Spread -0.5	37%
O/U 66.5	37%
1H Spread -1.5	37%
Spread -7.5	36%
Spread -1.5	36%
1H O/U 34.5	36%
Spread -2.5	34%
1H Spread -3.5	34%
1Q O/U 16.5	34%
4Q Spread -3.5	34%
Spread -9.5	32%
1Q Spread -3.5	32%
O/U 70.5	30%
1Q Spread -3.5	30%
3Q O/U 16.5	30%
1H O/U 37.5	29%
Spread -10.5	28%
Spread -3.5	28%
Spread -11.5	27%
Spread -4.5	27%
1Q O/U 19.5	26%
2Q O/U 23.5	26%
Spread -6.5	24%
O/U 72.5	23%
3Q O/U 19.5	23%
O/U 68.5	22%
Spread -14.5	21%
O/U 76.5	20%
Spread -9.5	17%
Spread -10.5	14%
Spread -13.5	12%
O/U 82.5	12%
Spread -16.5	8%

Market context

Market consensus: 82% chance of oregon vs. usc. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Oregon and USC, scheduled for September 26 at 7:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Oregon" if Oregon win the game. This market will…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 46.5 at 82% for "Oregon vs. USC".

O/U 46.5 82% Other 18%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $276K.

Methodology

This page reviews Oregon vs. USC across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?: Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?: Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?: A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?: Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?: Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Chris ReedPolitical Forecasting Editorand

Maya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Oregon vs. USC on PolyGram

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Open live market →

Oregon vs. USC

Platform comparison

Outcome probabilities

Market context

Live Data & Statistics

Methodology

Resolution & payout

FAQ

Trade Oregon vs. USC on PolyGram

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