Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
92% | 8% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
92% | 8% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -3.5 | 92% |
| Spread -4.5 | 90% |
| Spread -6.5 | 87% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 23.5 | 84% |
| Spread -5.5 | 82% |
| Spread -7.5 | 81% |
| Spread -9.5 | 81% |
| Spread -10.5 | 79% |
| O/U 39.5 | 77% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 75% |
| Spread -13.5 | 74% |
| Spread -11.5 | 74% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 74% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 72% |
| Spread -14.5 | 71% |
| Spread -15.5 | 71% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 71% |
| O/U 41.5 | 69% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 69% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 69% |
| Spread -16.5 | 68% |
| O/U 49.5 | 65% |
| Spread -17.5 | 64% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 64% |
| O/U 47.5 | 63% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 62% |
| Spread -20.5 | 59% |
| O/U 45.5 | 59% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 58% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 57% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 57% |
| Spread -18.5 | 56% |
| Spread -19.5 | 56% |
| O/U 61.5 | 55% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -21.5 | 53% |
| Spread -37.5 | 53% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 53% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 53% |
| O/U 67.5 | 52% |
| Spread -36.5 | 52% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 51% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 51% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 4.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 1H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 1H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Miami (FL) Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -40.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 65.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL): Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 49% |
| Miami (FL) Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Spread -12.5 | 49% |
| Spread -23.5 | 49% |
| O/U 35.5 | 48% |
| O/U 37.5 | 48% |
| Spread -8.5 | 47% |
| O/U 59.5 | 47% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 47% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 47% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 46% |
| Spread -22.5 | 46% |
| Spread -34.5 | 45% |
| Miami (FL) O/U 35.5 | 44% |
| O/U 43.5 | 43% |
| O/U 51.5 | 43% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 42% |
| Spread -24.5 | 42% |
| Spread -25.5 | 42% |
| Spread -26.5 | 41% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 40% |
| Spread -27.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 39% |
| O/U 53.5 | 38% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 38% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 38% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 36% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 35% |
| O/U 71.5 | 32% |
| O/U 73.5 | 31% |
| O/U 55.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| Spread -28.5 | 29% |
| O/U 57.5 | 28% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 28% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 26% |
| Spread -30.5 | 26% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 26% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 25% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 20.5 | 21% |
| Spread -33.5 | 20% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| O/U 63.5 | 18% |
| Pittsburgh O/U 23.5 | 17% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 16% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 14% |
| O/U 69.5 | 11% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) | 6% |
| O/U 75.5 | 5% |
Market context
Market consensus: 92% chance of pittsburgh vs. miami (fl). Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Pittsburgh and Miami (FL), scheduled for October 24 at 12:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh" if Pittsburgh win the game…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $179K.
Methodology
This page reviews Pittsburgh vs. Miami (FL) across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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