Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Polymarket) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| 1H O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 100% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 100% |
| Utah 1H O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Utah 1H O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Utah 1H O/U 15.5 | 100% |
| Arizona 1H O/U 12.5 | 100% |
| O/U 39.5 | 98% |
| O/U 45.5 | 95% |
| Utah O/U 20.5 | 91% |
| Utah O/U 23.5 | 90% |
| O/U 51.5 | 84% |
| O/U 41.5 | 83% |
| O/U 43.5 | 83% |
| 1H Moneyline | 83% |
| O/U 47.5 | 81% |
| O/U 49.5 | 80% |
| O/U 53.5 | 78% |
| O/U 55.5 | 73% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 72% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 69% |
| O/U 57.5 | 67% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 66% |
| Arizona O/U 23.5 | 64% |
| Utah vs. Arizona | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 63% |
| Spread -1.5 | 62% |
| Arizona O/U 26.5 | 60% |
| O/U 59.5 | 59% |
| Spread -2.5 | 56% |
| O/U 61.5 | 55% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 55% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 53% |
| Spread -0.5 | 51% |
| Arizona 1H O/U 16.5 | 51% |
| Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 51% |
| Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 51% |
| Utah vs. Arizona: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| O/U 37.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Utah O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 29.5 | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 32.5 | 50% |
| Arizona O/U 35.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 1H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| Utah 2H O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 2H O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 2H O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 2H O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q4 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q1 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score a Touchdown | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q2 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q3 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q4 | 50% |
| Game Goes to Overtime | 50% |
| Pick-Six Scored | 50% |
| Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown | 50% |
| Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Arizona: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Field Goals Made: O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total Receptions: O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Utah Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| Arizona Total First Downs: O/U 23.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Arizona: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah vs. Arizona: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| O/U 63.5 | 49% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 48% |
| Spread -4.5 | 43% |
| Spread -3.5 | 43% |
| O/U 65.5 | 43% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 43% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 43% |
| Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| O/U 67.5 | 39% |
| Spread -6.5 | 38% |
| Spread -8.5 | 35% |
| Spread -2.5 | 34% |
| Spread -1.5 | 32% |
| O/U 71.5 | 32% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 31% |
| Spread -7.5 | 30% |
| O/U 73.5 | 30% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 29% |
| Spread -10.5 | 27% |
| Spread -3.5 | 27% |
| O/U 69.5 | 26% |
| Spread -17.5 | 25% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 21% |
| Spread -4.5 | 19% |
| O/U 75.5 | 19% |
| Spread -13.5 | 18% |
| Spread -5.5 | 18% |
| Spread -6.5 | 15% |
| Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| Spread -14.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -13.5 | 6% |
| Spread -14.5 | 5% |
| Spread -16.5 | 5% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - Q1 | 0% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of utah vs. arizona. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game between Utah and Arizona, originally scheduled for Saturday, November 14, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET (as of creation of the first market related to th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $822K.
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Polymarket. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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