🎁 New traders: 100% Deposit Match up to $500 · 0% fees · instant USDC payoutsClaim it →
HomeGuideCryptoMarketsBlogOpen the market →

Wisconsin vs. UCLA

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Wisconsin vs. UCLA" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Spread -2.5 100% Spread -3.5 100% Volume: $459K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 17 Oct 2026
Open live market →
Wisconsin vs. UCLA

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 0.5100%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 14.5100%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 19.5100%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 19.5100%
1H Spread -0.5100%
1H Spread -1.5100%
1H Spread -2.5100%
1H Spread -3.5100%
1H Spread -5.5100%
1Q Spread -0.5100%
1Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -0.5100%
2Q Spread -1.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -3.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
4Q Spread -5.5100%
3Q Moneyline100%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown90%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 2H90%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.590%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.590%
UCLA Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.590%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.590%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.590%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.590%
4Q Spread -3.590%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q250%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total 4th Down Conversions O/U 0.550%
2H Moneyline50%
2H O/U 24.510%
4Q O/U 16.510%
UCLA 2H O/U 14.510%
UCLA 2H O/U 16.510%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q410%
Game Goes to Overtime10%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 5.510%
Pick-Six Scored10%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 6.510%
Kickoff or Punt Return Touchdown10%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Touchdowns O/U 7.510%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.510%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.510%
Wisconsin Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 1.510%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 2.510%
UCLA Total Passing Touchdowns: O/U 0.510%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 225.510%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 200.510%
Wisconsin Total Passing Yards: O/U 250.510%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.510%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 125.510%
UCLA Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.510%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.510%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 2.510%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 24.510%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Defensive/Special Teams Touchdowns O/U 0.510%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA: Total Successful Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.510%
2H Spread -0.510%
Wisconsin O/U 2.510%
UCLA O/U 2.510%
Wisconsin vs. UCLA0%
Spread -20.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -8.50%
Spread -7.50%
Spread -6.50%
Spread -5.50%
Spread -4.50%
Spread -3.50%
Spread -2.50%
Spread -1.50%
Spread -0.50%
Spread -10.50%
Spread -13.50%
Spread -14.50%
Spread -16.50%
Spread -17.50%
Spread -20.50%
O/U 35.50%
O/U 37.50%
O/U 39.50%
O/U 41.50%
O/U 43.50%
O/U 45.50%
O/U 47.50%
O/U 49.50%
O/U 51.50%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
O/U 67.50%
O/U 69.50%
O/U 71.50%
O/U 73.50%
O/U 75.50%
1H O/U 21.50%
1H O/U 24.50%
1H O/U 27.50%
1H O/U 30.50%
1H O/U 33.50%
2H O/U 21.50%
2H O/U 27.50%
2H O/U 30.50%
2H O/U 33.50%
1Q O/U 7.50%
1Q O/U 10.50%
1Q O/U 13.50%
1Q O/U 16.50%
1Q O/U 19.50%
2Q O/U 7.50%
2Q O/U 10.50%
2Q O/U 13.50%
2Q O/U 16.50%
2Q O/U 19.50%
3Q O/U 7.50%
3Q O/U 10.50%
3Q O/U 13.50%
3Q O/U 16.50%
3Q O/U 19.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 19.50%
Wisconsin O/U 20.50%
Wisconsin O/U 23.50%
Wisconsin O/U 26.50%
Wisconsin O/U 29.50%
Wisconsin O/U 32.50%
UCLA O/U 23.50%
UCLA O/U 26.50%
UCLA O/U 29.50%
UCLA O/U 32.50%
UCLA O/U 35.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 11.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 13.50%
Wisconsin 1H O/U 15.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 12.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 14.50%
UCLA 1H O/U 16.50%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 11.50%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 13.50%
Wisconsin 2H O/U 15.50%
UCLA 2H O/U 12.50%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - 1H0%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q10%
Both Teams to Score a Touchdown - Q20%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q30%
Both Teams to Score Points - Q40%
Wisconsin Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 150.50%
UCLA Total Rushing Yards: O/U 175.50%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 350.50%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 375.50%
Wisconsin Total Scrimmage Yards: O/U 400.50%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Wisconsin 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
UCLA 40+ Yard Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 0.50%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 2.50%
Wisconsin Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 14.50%
Wisconsin Total Receptions: O/U 19.50%
UCLA Field Goals Made: O/U 1.50%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 19.50%
UCLA Total Receptions: O/U 24.50%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
Wisconsin Total First Downs: O/U 21.50%
UCLA Total First Downs: O/U 23.50%
1H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -1.50%
2H Spread -2.50%
2H Spread -3.50%
2H Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -1.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
2Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -0.50%
3Q Spread -1.50%
3Q Spread -2.50%
3Q Spread -3.50%
3Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Spread -1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Moneyline0%
2Q Moneyline0%
4Q Moneyline0%

Market context

The Wisconsin vs. UCLA prediction market currently prices this outcome at 100% YES. In the upcoming college football game between Wisconsin and UCLA, scheduled for October 17 at 1:00PM ET: This market will resolve to "Wisconsin" if Wisconsin win the game. This market will resolve to …

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread -0.5 at 100% for "Wisconsin vs. UCLA".

Spread -0.5 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $459K.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

Trade Wisconsin vs. UCLA on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

Open live market →

Related live markets

More live prediction markets from our tracker — every trade button routes to PolyGram.

See all markets →

Related Topics

Sports