Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
54% | 46% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
54% | 46% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| FC Malisheva 1 - 0 Hibernian FC | 54% |
| Any Other Score | 49% |
| FC Malisheva 1 - 1 Hibernian FC | 22% |
| FC Malisheva 2 - 0 Hibernian FC | 11% |
| FC Malisheva 2 - 1 Hibernian FC | 8% |
| FC Malisheva 1 - 2 Hibernian FC | 5% |
| FC Malisheva 3 - 0 Hibernian FC | 5% |
| FC Malisheva 1 - 3 Hibernian FC | 5% |
| FC Malisheva 2 - 2 Hibernian FC | 5% |
| FC Malisheva 3 - 1 Hibernian FC | 5% |
| FC Malisheva 2 - 3 Hibernian FC | 4% |
| FC Malisheva 3 - 2 Hibernian FC | 4% |
| FC Malisheva 3 - 3 Hibernian FC | 4% |
| FC Malisheva 0 - 0 Hibernian FC | 0% |
| FC Malisheva 0 - 1 Hibernian FC | 0% |
| FC Malisheva 0 - 2 Hibernian FC | 0% |
| FC Malisheva 0 - 3 Hibernian FC | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 54% chance of fc malisheva vs. hibernian fc - exact score. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming UEFA Europa Conference League game between FC Malisheva and Hibernian FC, scheduled for July 23, 2026 at 11:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final sc…
Methodology
Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade FC Malisheva vs. Hibernian FC - Exact Score on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →