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Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK - More Markets

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK - More Markets" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 0.5 92% Zirə FK O/U 0.5 86% O/U 1.5 72% 1st Half O/U 0.5 66% Volume: $93K Liquidity: $118K Closes: 23 Jul 2026
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Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.592%
Zirə FK O/U 0.586%
O/U 1.572%
1st Half O/U 0.566%
Paide Linnameeskond O/U 0.557%
Zirə FK O/U 1.555%
Zirə FK 1st Half O/U 0.554%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half52%
2nd Half O/U 0.551%
Paide Linnameeskond 1st Half O/U 0.550%
Zirə FK 1st Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 1.550%
2nd Half O/U 2.550%
Paide Linnameeskond 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Paide Linnameeskond 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
Zirə FK 2nd Half O/U 0.550%
Zirə FK 2nd Half O/U 1.550%
O/U 2.546%
Both Teams to Score41%
Zirə FK (-1.5)40%
1st Half O/U 1.528%
Zirə FK O/U 2.528%
O/U 3.524%
Zirə FK (-2.5)18%
Both Teams to Score in First Half14%
Paide Linnameeskond O/U 1.513%
O/U 4.510%
1st Half O/U 2.59%
Paide Linnameeskond O/U 2.55%
O/U 5.54%
Paide Linnameeskond (-1.5)3%
Paide Linnameeskond 1st Half O/U 1.53%
Paide Linnameeskond (-2.5)1%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 92% probability to paide linnameeskond vs. zirə fk - more markets. More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for July 23 at 12:00 PM ET.

Methodology

We track Paide Linnameeskond vs. Zirə FK - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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