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Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Match Winner 100% Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs 6666 (+1.5) 100% Volume: $165K Liquidity: $362K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Match Winner100%
Map Handicap: ACE (-1.5) vs 6666 (+1.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-6.5) vs 6666 (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-9.5) vs 6666 (+9.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-3.5) vs 6666 (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.51%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Acend (-9.5) vs 6666 (+9.5)1%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%

Market context

Counter-Strike: Acend vs 6666 (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I Group C — current market-implied probability: 100%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Acend and 6666 in the Stake Pulse Beat I Group C, initially scheduled for August 2 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Acend" if Acend wi…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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