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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 2.5 Games 90% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5) 90% Map 2 Winner 88% Match Winner 70% Volume: $80K Liquidity: $291K Closes: 15 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 2.5 Games90%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: ALKA GAMING (-3.5) vs BESTIA (+3.5)90%
Map 2 Winner88%
Match Winner70%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs ALKA (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs ALKA (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map Handicap: ALKA (-1.5) vs BESTIA (+1.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-9.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+9.5)50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+6.5)10%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.510%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-3.5) vs ALKA (+3.5)2%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.52%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map Handicap: BST (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: BESTIA (-6.5) vs ALKA GAMING (+6.5)0%

Market context

Counter-Strike: BESTIA vs ALKA (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Playoffs — current market-implied probability: 90%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between BESTIA and ALKA in the BetBoom Storm Playoffs, initially scheduled for August 14 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "BESTI…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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