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Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 100% O/U 2.5 Games 100% Map 2 Winner 100% Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5) 100% Volume: $207K Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner100%
O/U 2.5 Games100%
Map 2 Winner100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-6.5) vs Donstu Esports (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)100%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-3.5) vs Donstu Esports (+3.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 15.5100%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Map Handicap: DNT (-1.5) vs Fortress (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-3.5) vs Fortress (+3.5)0%
Map Handicap: FOR (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-9.5) vs Donstu Esports (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-9.5) vs Fortress (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fortress (-12.5) vs Donstu Esports (+12.5)0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Donstu Esports (-6.5) vs Fortress (+6.5)0%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 100% YES probability for Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between Donstu Esports and Fortress in the European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C, initially scheduled for June 30 at 4:00AM E…

Methodology

We track Counter-Strike: Donstu Esports vs Fortress (BO3) - European Pro League Series 8 Closed Qualifier Group C across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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