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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 1 Winner 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5 100% Match Winner 95% Volume: $156K Liquidity: $327K Closes: 28 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 1 Winner100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 18.5100%
Match Winner95%
Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+1.5)83%
Map 2 Winner82%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)50%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)50%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.550%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)50%
O/U 2.5 Games18%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.51%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 27.51%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fluxo W7M (-3.5) vs MIBR (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-3.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-9.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+9.5)0%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MIBR (-6.5) vs Fluxo W7M (+6.5)0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: mibr vs fluxo w7m (bo3) - starladder starseries south american qualifier playoffs stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between MIBR and Fluxo W7M in the StarLadder StarSeries South American Qualifier Playoffs, initially sch…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: MIBR vs Fluxo W7M (BO3) - StarLadder… on PolyGram

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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