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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Map 2 Winner 65% Match Winner 65% Map 1 Winner 56% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 51% Volume: $54K Liquidity: $570K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
65% 35% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
65% 35% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map 2 Winner65%
Match Winner65%
Map 1 Winner56%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.551%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.549%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)45%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)38%
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5)37%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs PARIVISION (+3.5)26%

Market context

Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C — current market-implied probability: 65%. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal 1 match between MOUZ and PARIVISION in the Esports World Cup Group C, initially scheduled for August 16, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET. This mar…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group C across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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