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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Ends in Daytime 90% Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2? 60% Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2? 51% Ends in Daytime 50% Volume: $937K Liquidity: $632K Closes: 14 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
90% 10% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
90% 10% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Ends in Daytime90%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?60%
Total Kills Over/Under 35.5 in Game 2?51%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Ends in Daytime50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
Game Handicap: GL (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5)50%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?50%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 2?50%
First Blood in Game 2?49%
O/U 2.5 Games47%
Both Teams Beat Roshan10%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks10%
Any Player Ultra Kill10%
Any Player Rampage10%
First Blood in Game 1?10%
Game 2 Winner1%
Match Winner1%
Game 1 Winner0%
Game Handicap: Xtreme (-1.5) vs GamerLegion (+1.5)0%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 40.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 90% probability to dota 2: xtreme gaming vs gamerlegion (bo3) - the international group stage. This market refers to the Dota 2 Round 2 match between Xtreme Gaming and GamerLegion in the The International Group Stage, initially scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. This market will res…

Methodology

This page reviews Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs GamerLegion (BO3) - The International Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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