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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score

Five-platform snapshot of "Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC 52% Aston Villa FC 5 - 3 Manchester City FC 50% Aston Villa FC 4 - 5 Manchester City FC 50% Aston Villa FC 5 - 4 Manchester City FC 50% Volume: $198K Liquidity: $773K Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
52% 48% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
52% 48% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Aston Villa FC 2 - 1 Manchester City FC52%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 3 Manchester City FC50%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 5 Manchester City FC50%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 4 Manchester City FC50%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 5 Manchester City FC50%
Any Other Score50%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 2 Manchester City FC25%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 1 Manchester City FC10%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 3 Manchester City FC6%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC4%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 4 Manchester City FC3%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 4 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 1 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 5 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 4 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 3 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 2 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 5 Manchester City FC1%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 1 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 2 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 1 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 2 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 3 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 2 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 3 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 4 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 3 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 0 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 4 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 1 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 5 - 0 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 1 - 5 Manchester City FC0%
Aston Villa FC 4 - 2 Manchester City FC0%

Market context

Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score — current market-implied probability: 52%. In the upcoming Premier League game between Aston Villa FC and Manchester City FC, scheduled for October 24, 2026 at 7:30 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Aston Villa FC…

Methodology

This page reviews Aston Villa FC vs. Manchester City FC - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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