Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
14% | 86% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
14% | 86% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Belgium 1 - 1 Senegal | 14% |
| Belgium 1 - 0 Senegal | 11% |
| Belgium 2 - 1 Senegal | 11% |
| Belgium 2 - 0 Senegal | 8% |
| Belgium 0 - 0 Senegal | 8% |
| Belgium 0 - 1 Senegal | 8% |
| Belgium 1 - 2 Senegal | 7% |
| Any Other Score | 6% |
| Belgium 2 - 2 Senegal | 6% |
| Belgium 3 - 1 Senegal | 5% |
| Belgium 0 - 2 Senegal | 4% |
| Belgium 3 - 0 Senegal | 4% |
| Belgium 3 - 2 Senegal | 3% |
| Belgium 2 - 3 Senegal | 2% |
| Belgium 1 - 3 Senegal | 2% |
| Belgium 3 - 3 Senegal | 1% |
| Belgium 0 - 3 Senegal | 1% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 14% probability to belgium vs. senegal - exact score. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Belgium and Senegal, scheduled for July 1, 2026 at 4:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Belgium vs. Senegal match originally…
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Belgium vs. Senegal - Exact Score on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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