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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots 100% Casemiro: 1+ goals 100% Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots 100% Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots 100% Volume: $561K Liquidity: $6 Closes: 29 Jun 2026
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Brazil vs. Japan - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ goals100%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots100%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ shots100%
Casemiro: 2+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ shots on target100%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots100%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots100%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots100%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots100%
Rayan: 1+ shots100%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots100%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ assists100%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots100%
Casemiro: 1+ goals + assists100%
Endrick: 1+ shots100%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ shots on target100%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals + assists100%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ shots100%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ shots100%
Junya Itō: 1+ shots100%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ shots on target51%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ shots on target51%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ shots on target50%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ shots on target50%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ shots on target50%
Casemiro: 2+ shots on target50%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ shots on target50%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ shots on target50%
Rayan: 1+ shots on target50%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ shots on target50%
Alisson: 2+ saves50%
Alisson: 3+ saves50%
Endrick: 1+ shots on target50%
Junya Itō: 1+ shots on target26%
Junya Itō: 1+ assists25%
Rayan: 3+ shots0%
Rayan: 4+ shots0%
Rayan: 5+ shots0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots0%
Vinícius Júnior: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals + assists0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals + assists0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals + assists0%
Neymar Jr: 4+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 1+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 2+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 3+ goals + assists0%
Rayan: 4+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals0%
Bruno Guimarães: 1+ goals0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals0%
Rayan: 3+ goals0%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goals0%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals0%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots0%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ assists0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ assists0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ assists0%
Rayan: 1+ assists0%
Rayan: 2+ assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ shots on target0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots on target0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ shots on target0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ shots on target0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ shots on target0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ shots on target0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots0%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 1+ goals0%
Igor Thiago: 2+ goals0%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ goals0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ goals0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ goals0%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ goals0%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ goals0%
Ayase Ueda: 5+ shots0%
Endrick: 3+ shots0%
Endrick: 4+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 5+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ shots0%
Rayan: 2+ shots0%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ assists0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ assists0%
Casemiro: 1+ assists0%
Casemiro: 2+ assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots0%
Matheus Cunha: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ shots0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals0%
Endrick: 1+ goals0%
Endrick: 2+ goals0%
Endrick: 3+ goals0%
Bruno Guimarães: 3+ goals + assists0%
Bruno Guimarães: 4+ goals + assists0%
Casemiro: 2+ goals + assists0%
Casemiro: 3+ goals + assists0%
Casemiro: 4+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ goals + assists0%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ goals + assists0%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 4+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals + assists0%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ goals0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ shots0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots0%
Endrick: 2+ shots0%
Endrick: 5+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots0%
Igor Thiago: 5+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots0%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots0%
Casemiro: 2+ goals0%
Daizen Maeda: 1+ goals0%
Daizen Maeda: 2+ goals0%
Keito Nakamura: 1+ goals0%
Keito Nakamura: 2+ goals0%
Lucas Paquetá: 1+ goals0%
Lucas Paquetá: 2+ goals0%
Matheus Cunha: 1+ goals0%
Matheus Cunha: 2+ goals0%
Matheus Cunha: 3+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 1+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 2+ goals0%
Neymar Jr: 3+ goals0%
Rayan: 1+ goals0%
Rayan: 2+ goals0%
Rayan: 2+ shots on target0%
Rayan: 3+ shots on target0%
Alisson: 4+ saves0%
Alisson: 5+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 2+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 3+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 4+ saves0%
Keisuke Ōsako: 5+ saves0%
Ayase Ueda: 1+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 2+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 3+ goals + assists0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ goals + assists0%
Bruno Guimarães: 2+ goals + assists0%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 2+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 3+ goals + assists0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ goals + assists0%
Lucas Paquetá: 5+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots0%
Luiz Henrique: 5+ shots0%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots0%
Raphinha: 1+ goals0%
Raphinha: 2+ goals0%
Raphinha: 3+ goals0%
Endrick: 2+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 3+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 4+ shots on target0%
Endrick: 3+ shots on target0%
Endrick: 4+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 1+ shots on target0%
Igor Thiago: 2+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 4+ shots on target0%
Matheus Cunha: 4+ shots on target0%
Neymar Jr: 4+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 1+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 2+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 3+ shots on target0%
Raphinha: 4+ shots on target0%
Vinícius Júnior: 4+ shots on target0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ assists0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ assists0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ shots on target0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ shots on target0%
Danilo Santos: 1+ goals + assists0%
Danilo Santos: 2+ goals + assists0%
Danilo Santos: 3+ goals + assists0%
Danilo Santos: 4+ goals + assists0%
Koki Ogawa: 1+ shots on target0%
Koki Ogawa: 2+ shots on target0%
Koki Ogawa: 3+ shots on target0%
Koki Ogawa: 4+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 1+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 2+ shots on target0%
Luiz Henrique: 3+ shots on target0%
Ayase Ueda: 4+ shots on target0%
Lucas Paquetá: 3+ shots on target0%
Junya Itō: 2+ assists0%
Junya Itō: 2+ shots on target0%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ shots on target0%
Junya Itō: 1+ goals0%
Junya Itō: 2+ goals0%
Casemiro: 3+ shots0%
Casemiro: 4+ shots0%
Daizen Maeda: 3+ shots0%
Daizen Maeda: 4+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 2+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 3+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 4+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 3+ shots0%
Keito Nakamura: 4+ shots0%
Junya Itō: 1+ goals + assists0%
Junya Itō: 2+ goals + assists0%
Junya Itō: 3+ goals + assists0%
Junya Itō: 4+ goals + assists0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, brazil vs. japan - player props stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between Brazil and Japan, scheduled for June 29 at 1:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

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