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Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Any Other Score 14% Spain 1 - 0 Belgium 12% Spain 1 - 1 Belgium 12% Spain 2 - 0 Belgium 11% Volume: $132K Liquidity: $1.9M Closes: 10 Jul 2026
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Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
 14% 86% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
 14% 86% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Any Other Score14%
Spain 1 - 0 Belgium12%
Spain 1 - 1 Belgium12%
Spain 2 - 0 Belgium11%
Spain 2 - 1 Belgium11%
Spain 0 - 0 Belgium7%
Spain 3 - 0 Belgium7%
Spain 3 - 1 Belgium7%
Spain 0 - 1 Belgium5%
Spain 1 - 2 Belgium5%
Spain 2 - 2 Belgium5%
Spain 3 - 2 Belgium3%
Spain 3 - 3 Belgium3%
Spain 0 - 2 Belgium2%
Spain 2 - 3 Belgium2%
Spain 0 - 3 Belgium1%
Spain 1 - 3 Belgium1%

Market context

Spain vs. Belgium - Exact Score — current market-implied probability: 14%. In the upcoming FIFA World Cup game between Spain and Belgium, scheduled for July 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Spain vs. Belgium match originally sc…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Chris ReedChris ReedPolitical Forecasting EditorandMaya TorresMaya TorresFinancial Markets Writer

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