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France vs. Sweden - Player Props

How the prediction-market book is pricing "France vs. Sweden - Player Props" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Michael Olise: 1+ shots 94% Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots 94% Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shots 83% Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target 77% Volume: $497K Liquidity: $1.7M Closes: 30 Jun 2026
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France vs. Sweden - Player Props

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
94% 6% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
94% 6% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Michael Olise: 1+ shots94%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots94%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shots83%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ shots on target77%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots75%
Alexander Isak: 1+ shots74%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals + assists68%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots65%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots63%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots63%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shots60%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goals60%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots60%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots57%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots57%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ shots55%
Alexander Isak: 2+ shots54%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ shots on target50%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ shots on target50%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ shots on target50%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots on target50%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots50%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ goals + assists50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals + assists50%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals + assists50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goals + assists50%
Alexander Isak: 4+ shots on target50%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots on target50%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ shots on target50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 1+ shots on target50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 2+ shots on target50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ shots on target50%
Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ shots on target50%
Marcus Thuram: 1+ shots on target50%
Marcus Thuram: 2+ shots on target50%
Marcus Thuram: 3+ shots on target50%
Marcus Thuram: 4+ shots on target50%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots on target50%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ shots on target50%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ shots on target50%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ shots on target50%
Rayan Cherki: 4+ shots on target50%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots on target50%
Mike Maignan: 2+ saves50%
Mike Maignan: 3+ saves50%
Mike Maignan: 4+ saves50%
Mike Maignan: 5+ saves50%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ shots on target50%
Alexander Isak: 3+ shots on target50%
Kylian Mbappé: 4+ shots on target50%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shots50%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ goals + assists49%
Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ goals + assists49%
Alexander Isak: 3+ shots49%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 2+ shots on target49%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots on target49%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ shots49%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ shots on target49%
Désiré Doué: 4+ goals + assists48%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ shots on target48%
Manu Koné: 2+ shots on target48%
Michael Olise: 3+ shots on target48%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ shots on target48%
Désiré Doué: 2+ shots on target47%
Michael Olise: 4+ goals + assists47%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ goals + assists47%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goals + assists47%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ shots47%
Viktor Johansson: 2+ saves47%
Viktor Johansson: 4+ saves47%
Viktor Johansson: 3+ saves47%
Viktor Johansson: 5+ saves47%
Alexander Isak: 2+ shots on target47%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ shots on target47%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ shots on target47%
Théo Hernández: 1+ shots on target47%
Théo Hernández: 2+ shots on target47%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 4+ shots on target47%
Alexander Isak: 4+ goals + assists46%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ shots43%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals42%
Michael Olise: 1+ assists41%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals + assists40%
Manu Koné: 1+ shots40%
Michael Olise: 1+ shots on target40%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ shots on target40%
Désiré Doué: 1+ shots37%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ shots on target36%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals + assists33%
Ousmane Dembélé: 4+ shots33%
Viktor Gyökeres: 4+ shots33%
Michael Olise: 1+ goals32%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ assists31%
Michael Olise: 4+ shots31%
Manu Koné: 2+ shots31%
Ousmane Dembélé: 1+ goals + assists30%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ shots on target30%
Alexander Isak: 1+ shots on target30%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ goals + assists29%
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assists28%
Théo Hernández: 1+ shots28%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 3+ goals + assists27%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals26%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals + assists26%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ shots26%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ goals + assists25%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals + assists25%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals + assists25%
Théo Hernández: 3+ goals + assists25%
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals + assists24%
Maghnes Akliouche: 1+ shots24%
Maghnes Akliouche: 2+ shots24%
Manu Koné: 1+ shots on target24%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ goals + assists23%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals + assists23%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals + assists23%
Michael Olise: 5+ shots23%
Rayan Cherki: 4+ shots23%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ assists23%
Bradley Barcola: 5+ shots23%
Alexander Isak: 3+ goals + assists22%
Théo Hernández: 2+ shots21%
Michael Olise: 2+ shots on target21%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 3+ shots21%
Rayan Cherki: 5+ shots20%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ shots on target19%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals18%
Bradley Barcola: 1+ goals18%
Théo Hernández: 3+ shots18%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals17%
Alexander Isak: 1+ goals17%
Ousmane Dembélé: 5+ shots17%
Théo Hernández: 4+ shots17%
Alexander Isak: 1+ goals + assists16%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals + assists16%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ goals + assists16%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 4+ shots16%
Michael Olise: 2+ assists14%
Désiré Doué: 1+ assists14%
Maghnes Akliouche: 5+ shots13%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ shots on target13%
Bradley Barcola: 4+ shots13%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ goals12%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ assists11%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 1+ goals11%
Alexander Isak: 1+ assists10%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals + assists10%
Théo Hernández: 1+ assists9%
Kylian Mbappé: 3+ goals8%
Manu Koné: 1+ assists8%
Désiré Doué: 1+ goals + assists8%
Manu Koné: 1+ goals + assists8%
Théo Hernández: 1+ goals + assists8%
Alexander Isak: 4+ shots8%
Rayan Cherki: 1+ goals7%
Manu Koné: 1+ goals7%
Ousmane Dembélé: 2+ assists7%
Viktor Gyökeres: 1+ assists7%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 1+ goals7%
Kylian Mbappé: 2+ assists6%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots6%
Michael Olise: 2+ goals6%
Manu Koné: 3+ goals + assists5%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ assists5%
Maghnes Akliouche: 1+ goals5%
Théo Hernández: 1+ goals5%
Bradley Barcola: 2+ goals5%
Alexander Isak: 5+ shots5%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals + assists4%
Manu Koné: 2+ goals + assists4%
Théo Hernández: 2+ goals + assists4%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ assists4%
Désiré Doué: 2+ assists4%
Maghnes Akliouche: 2+ goals4%
Manu Koné: 3+ shots4%
Alexander Isak: 2+ assists3%
Manu Koné: 2+ assists3%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ assists3%
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ shots3%
Marcus Thuram: 2+ goals3%
Marcus Thuram: 3+ goals3%
Rayan Cherki: 2+ goals3%
Ousmane Dembélé: 3+ goals3%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 2+ goals3%
Viktor Gyökeres: 5+ shots3%
Désiré Doué: 3+ shots on target2%
Désiré Doué: 2+ goals2%
Michael Olise: 3+ goals2%
Théo Hernández: 2+ assists2%
Manu Koné: 4+ goals + assists2%
Théo Hernández: 4+ goals + assists2%
Désiré Doué: 4+ shots2%
Bradley Barcola: 3+ goals2%
Viktor Gyökeres: 2+ goals2%
Alexander Isak: 2+ goals2%
Manu Koné: 2+ goals2%
Jean-Philippe Mateta: 3+ goals2%
Maghnes Akliouche: 4+ shots2%
Manu Koné: 4+ shots2%
Désiré Doué: 3+ goals1%
Viktor Gyökeres: 3+ goals1%
Maghnes Akliouche: 3+ goals1%
Marcus Thuram: 1+ goals1%
Alexander Isak: 3+ goals1%
Aurélien Tchouameni: 2+ goals1%
Théo Hernández: 2+ goals1%
Rayan Cherki: 3+ goals1%
Désiré Doué: 5+ shots1%

Market context

Market consensus: 94% chance of france vs. sweden - player props. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. Player prop markets for the FIFA World Cup game between France and Sweden, scheduled for June 30 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page reviews France vs. Sweden - Player Props across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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