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Paraguay vs. France - More Markets

Comparison of odds and platforms for "Paraguay vs. France - More Markets" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

O/U 0.5 96% France O/U 0.5 92% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 83% O/U 1.5 81% Volume: $165K Liquidity: $1.4M Closes: 4 Jul 2026
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Paraguay vs. France - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
96% 4% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
96% 4% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.596%
France O/U 0.592%
2nd Half O/U 0.583%
O/U 1.581%
France 2nd Half O/U 0.576%
1st Half O/U 0.574%
France O/U 1.574%
France 1st Half O/U 0.569%
France (-1.5)62%
O/U 2.559%
2nd Half O/U 1.551%
France O/U 2.548%
Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 1.543%
France 2nd Half O/U 1.543%
Paraguay O/U 0.540%
1st Half O/U 1.538%
France (-2.5)37%
O/U 3.537%
Both Teams to Score37%
France 1st Half O/U 1.532%
Paraguay 2nd Half O/U 0.527%
2nd Half O/U 2.525%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half22%
France (-3.5)19%
O/U 4.519%
Paraguay 1st Half O/U 0.519%
1st Half O/U 2.516%
Both Teams to Score in First Half13%
Will the Match Go to Extra Time?13%
Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?12%
France (-4.5)11%
Paraguay O/U 1.511%
O/U 5.59%
Team to Advance9%
France (-5.5)6%
O/U 6.53%
O/U 7.52%
Paraguay O/U 2.52%
Paraguay 1st Half O/U 1.52%
Paraguay (-1.5)1%
Paraguay (-2.5)1%
Paraguay (-3.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
Paraguay (-4.5)0%
Paraguay (-5.5)0%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 96% probability to paraguay vs. france - more markets. More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for July 4 at 5:00 PM ET.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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