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US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

How the prediction-market book is pricing "US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.5 76% US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.5 67% US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.5 57% US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.5 56% Volume: $76K Liquidity: $409K Closes: 10 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 8.576%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 3.567%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 36.557%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 9.556%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 38.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 2 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 Winner49%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse48%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Match O/U 40.548%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Game Spread +/-1.548%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.539%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-1.534%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Total Sets: O/U 4.530%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set 1 O/U 10.530%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.519%
US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse Set Handicap +/-2.515%

Market context

US Open ATP: Benjamin Bonzi vs Ignacio Buse — current market-implied probability: 76%. This market refers to the tennis match between Benjamin Bonzi and Ignacio Buse in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 3, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Benjamin Bonz…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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