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Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Completed Match 100% Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner 100% Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.5 100% Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.5 100% Volume: $986K Liquidity: $427K Closes: 29 Jul 2026
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Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Completed Match100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 Winner100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 21.5100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Total Sets: O/U 2.5100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 22.5100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Match O/U 23.5100%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga0%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 8.50%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set Handicap +/-1.50%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 Winner0%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 9.50%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 1 O/U 10.50%
Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga Set 2 O/U 10.50%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, estoril open: nuno borges vs roman andres burruchaga stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Roman Andres Burruchaga in the Estoril Open, originally scheduled for July 22, 2026 at 9:30AM ET. This market will r…

Methodology

This page reviews Estoril Open: Nuno Borges vs Roman Andres Burruchaga across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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