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US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Live odds for "US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien" pulled from the Polygon order book, alongside the platform attributes of every venue that runs this contract.

US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.5 55% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.5 52% Completed Match 50% US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.5 50% Volume: $394K Liquidity: $274K Closes: 6 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
55% 45% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
55% 45% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Game Spread +/-3.555%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 38.552%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 3.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 36.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-1.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Total Sets: O/U 4.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Match O/U 40.549%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 2 Winner38%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 3 Winner38%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set 1 Winner33%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien32%
US Open ATP: Nuno Borges vs Learner Tien Set Handicap +/-2.528%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, us open atp: nuno borges vs learner tien stands at 55% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the tennis match between Nuno Borges and Learner Tien in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for August 30, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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