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US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel

Comparison of odds and platforms for "US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel" — sourced live from the Polymarket order book, curated by PolyGram.

US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.5 78% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel 72% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner 64% US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 Winner 63% Volume: $154K Liquidity: $266K Closes: 9 Sept 2026
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US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
78% 22% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
78% 22% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 8.578%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel72%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 Winner64%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 Winner63%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 Winner62%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 3.562%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-1.556%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 36.553%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Game Spread +/-4.551%
Completed Match50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 Winner50%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 40.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 2 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 3 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 8.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 9.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 4 O/U 10.550%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Match O/U 38.549%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set Handicap +/-2.531%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Set 1 O/U 10.528%
US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel Total Sets: O/U 4.526%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 78% YES probability for US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel. This market refers to the tennis match between Jiri Lehecka and Toby Samuel in the US Open ATP, originally scheduled for September 2, 2026 at 11:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Jiri Lehecka' if…

Methodology

This page reviews US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Toby Samuel across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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