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Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils 76% Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 1 Winner 70% Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 8.5 65% Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 23.5 65% Volume: $187K Liquidity: $433K Closes: 10 Aug 2026
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Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
76% 24% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
76% 24% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils76%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 1 Winner70%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 8.565%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 23.565%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 2 Winner56%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set Handicap +/-1.554%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 21.551%
Completed Match50%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Match O/U 22.546%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Total Sets: O/U 2.536%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 9.528%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set 1 O/U 10.528%
Canadian Open: Kamil Majchrzak vs Gael Monfils Set Handicap +/-1.513%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 76% probability to canadian open: kamil majchrzak vs gael monfils. This market refers to the tennis match between Kamil Majchrzak and Gael Monfils in the Canadian Open, originally scheduled for August 3, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Kamil Majchrz…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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