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Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu

Five-platform snapshot of "Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 Winner 100% Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 O/U 9.5 100% Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 O/U 10.5 100% Volume: $171K Liquidity: $100K Closes: 18 Sept 2026
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Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 Winner100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 O/U 9.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 1 O/U 10.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 2 O/U 8.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 2 O/U 9.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 2 O/U 10.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Match O/U 21.5100%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Total Sets: O/U 2.591%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Match O/U 22.591%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Match O/U 23.591%
Completed Match50%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Game Spread +/-4.550%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu28%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set Handicap +/-1.510%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set 2 Winner0%
Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu Set Handicap +/-1.50%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to phan thiet 3: hiroki moriya vs yuta shimizu. This market refers to the tennis match between Hiroki Moriya and Yuta Shimizu in the Phan Thiet 3, originally scheduled for September 10, 2026 at 11:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Hiroki Moriy…

Methodology

We track Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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Trade Phan Thiet 3: Hiroki Moriya vs Yuta Shimizu on PolyGram

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