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Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz

Five-platform snapshot of "Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.5 51% Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.5 51% Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.5 51% Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.5 51% Volume: $120K Liquidity: $1.3M Closes: 20 Aug 2026
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Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
51% 49% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
51% 49% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 8.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 8.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 21.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 9.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 9.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 22.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 O/U 10.551%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz50%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 Winner50%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 2 Winner50%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Set 1 O/U 10.550%
Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz Match O/U 23.550%
Completed Match39%

Market context

Live Polymarket data shows 51% YES probability for Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz. This market refers to the tennis match between Corentin Moutet and Hubert Hurkacz in the Cincinnati Open, originally scheduled for August 13, 2026 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Corentin…

Methodology

We track Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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Trade Cincinnati Open: Corentin Moutet vs Hubert Hurkacz on PolyGram

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