Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo | 100% |
| Completed Match | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 Winner | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Match O/U 21.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 O/U 9.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 2 O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set Handicap +/-1.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Match O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Match O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Set 1 O/U 10.5 | 0% |
Market context
Market consensus: 100% chance of croatia open, qualification: juan carlos prado vs nikolas sanchez izquierdo. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the tennis match between Juan Carlos Prado and Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo in the Croatia Open, Qualification, originally scheduled for July 12, 2026 at 11:00AM…
Methodology
We track Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Croatia Open, Qualification: Juan Carlos Prado vs Ni… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
Open live market →