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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Five-platform snapshot of "Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5 100% Completed Match 50% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner 50% Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.5 50% Volume: $107K Liquidity: $54K Closes: 7 Oct 2026
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Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 8.5100%
Completed Match50%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 Winner50%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Total Sets: O/U 2.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 8.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 9.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 2 O/U 10.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 21.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 22.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Match O/U 23.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Game Spread +/-3.550%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida24%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set Handicap +/-1.510%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 Winner1%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 9.51%
Curitiba: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Set 1 O/U 10.51%

Market context

Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to curitiba: joao lucas da silva vs matheus pucinelli de almeida. This market refers to the tennis match between Joao Lucas Da Silva and Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida in the Curitiba, originally scheduled for September 30, 2026 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

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Related Topics

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