Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista O/U 2.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 100% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) | 98% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5) | 88% |
| Both Teams to Score in Second Half | 52% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 51% |
| O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| 2nd Half O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| SC Corinthians Paulista 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Clube do Remo 2nd Half O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Both Teams to Score | 18% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 0.5 | 18% |
| O/U 4.5 | 13% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 1.5 | 6% |
| Clube do Remo O/U 2.5 | 4% |
| O/U 5.5 | 2% |
| Clube do Remo (-1.5) | 0% |
| Clube do Remo (-2.5) | 0% |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 0% |
| Clube do Remo 1st Half O/U 1.5 | 0% |
Market context
Corinthians vs Clube do Remo is the Brazil Série A fixture that Polymarket is trading through its “More Markets” contract, with the crowd currently pricing a **98% YES** outcome. On Polymarket, that means users are implicitly valuing the specified bundled market conditions in USDC on Polygon via conditional tokens, so the live price reflects how traders think the listed side markets will resolve, not just the match winner in isolation.[1]
That reading is very stretched versus outside comparison points. Polymarket’s own market page framed Corinthians as a clear favourite, but still only around a 63% implied chance for the home win, while third-party models in the search results ranged from 48.4% to 58% for Corinthians and ESPN-listed moneyline pricing sat at roughly -190, which is far from a near-lock.[1][2][4][12] In other words, a 98% crowd price is much closer to an expectation that the relevant “more markets” conditions are already baked in than to a simple pre-match view on Corinthians’ strength.
For traders, the main catalysts are the final team news, any late withdrawals, and the exact market dependency chain attached to the contract before the 2026-07-23 22:30 UTC settlement cut-off. Polymarket noted absences such as Vitinho and Hugo as minor uncertainty for Corinthians, while the match itself was scheduled for 23 July at 10:30 PM on the platform and 6:30 PM ET in the market description.[1] Live pricing can shift quickly if line-ups confirm key starters, if the scoring environment changes, or if a dependent leg in the “more markets” bundle is affected by a late official update.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Clube do Remo - More Mar… on PolyGram
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