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RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

O/U 0.5 97% RB Leipzig O/U 0.5 94% O/U 1.5 90% 2nd Half O/U 0.5 88% Volume: $191K Liquidity: $1.2M Closes: 24 Oct 2026
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RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
97% 3% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
97% 3% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 0.597%
RB Leipzig O/U 0.594%
O/U 1.590%
2nd Half O/U 0.588%
1st Half O/U 0.583%
RB Leipzig 2nd Half O/U 0.576%
O/U 2.573%
RB Leipzig O/U 1.572%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 0.572%
Both Teams to Score68%
RB Leipzig 1st Half O/U 0.568%
2nd Half O/U 1.564%
O/U 3.553%
1st Half O/U 1.552%
SV 07 Elversberg 2nd Half O/U 0.552%
SV 07 Elversberg (-4.5)50%
SV 07 Elversberg (-5.5)50%
SV 07 Elversberg 2nd Half O/U 2.550%
SV 07 Elversberg 2nd Half O/U 3.550%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 5.549%
RB Leipzig O/U 2.546%
SV 07 Elversberg 1st Half O/U 3.546%
SV 07 Elversberg 1st Half O/U 0.543%
RB Leipzig (-1.5)41%
RB Leipzig 2nd Half O/U 1.541%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half39%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 1.536%
2nd Half O/U 2.536%
O/U 4.533%
RB Leipzig 1st Half O/U 1.533%
Both Teams to Score in First Half29%
RB Leipzig (-2.5)24%
1st Half O/U 2.524%
RB Leipzig O/U 3.523%
O/U 5.518%
RB Leipzig 2nd Half O/U 2.517%
SV 07 Elversberg 2nd Half O/U 1.517%
RB Leipzig (-5.5)14%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 2.514%
2nd Half O/U 3.514%
RB Leipzig (-3.5)12%
RB Leipzig O/U 4.510%
O/U 6.59%
1st Half O/U 3.59%
RB Leipzig 1st Half O/U 2.59%
RB Leipzig (-4.5)8%
SV 07 Elversberg 1st Half O/U 1.58%
SV 07 Elversberg (-1.5)7%
RB Leipzig 2nd Half O/U 3.57%
RB Leipzig O/U 5.55%
O/U 7.54%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 3.54%
2nd Half O/U 4.54%
SV 07 Elversberg (-2.5)2%
1st Half O/U 4.52%
RB Leipzig 1st Half O/U 3.52%
SV 07 Elversberg (-3.5)1%
O/U 8.51%
SV 07 Elversberg O/U 4.51%
SV 07 Elversberg 1st Half O/U 2.51%

Market context

RB Leipzig vs. SV 07 Elversberg - More Markets. The market is currently pricing the outcome at 41% YES, meaning crowd-implied probability sits at that level. Settlement is scheduled for 2026-10-24T13:30:00Z. Unlike a sportsbook, the price you see is set by buyers and sellers competing in a live order book — there is no house edge or bookmaker margin to fade.

Sports outcome markets resolve from official league data once the contest finishes. Pricing typically tightens through the warm-up window as line-ups, weather, and starting-pitcher data become public, then moves on goals or runs in real time.

Watch for the underlying catalysts that move this category: each official announcement, dataset release, or scheduled milestone generally produces a step change in the implied probability. Trades execute instantly on Polygon, and shares pay $1 each at resolution if your side wins.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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