Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
91% | 9% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
91% | 9% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Central Connecticut State O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 91% |
| Central Connecticut State 1H O/U 2.5 | 91% |
| O/U 36.5 | 78% |
| O/U 35.5 | 78% |
| O/U 37.5 | 78% |
| O/U 38.5 | 77% |
| O/U 40.5 | 77% |
| O/U 42.5 | 77% |
| O/U 48.5 | 77% |
| O/U 44.5 | 75% |
| O/U 46.5 | 74% |
| Spread -21.5 | 69% |
| Spread -24.5 | 69% |
| O/U 50.5 | 69% |
| Spread -20.5 | 68% |
| Spread -22.5 | 68% |
| Spread -25.5 | 65% |
| Spread -27.5 | 64% |
| Spread -14.5 | 60% |
| Spread -28.5 | 59% |
| Spread -30.5 | 59% |
| O/U 53.5 | 58% |
| O/U 52.5 | 57% |
| Spread -29.5 | 56% |
| Spread -16.5 | 55% |
| Spread -31.5 | 53% |
| O/U 55.5 | 52% |
| Spread -33.5 | 51% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -0.5 | 50% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| Spread -2.5 | 50% |
| Spread -3.5 | 50% |
| Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| Spread -34.5 | 50% |
| O/U 54.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -12.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 39.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 42.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 45.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 48.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 51.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 5.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 11.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 14.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 17.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 38.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 41.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 44.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 47.5 | 50% |
| Toledo O/U 50.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -22.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 7.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| Spread -49.5 | 50% |
| Spread -50.5 | 50% |
| Spread -52.5 | 50% |
| Spread -53.5 | 50% |
| Spread -56.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 1H Spread -23.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1H O/U 36.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -18.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -19.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 21.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 27.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 30.5 | 50% |
| 2H O/U 33.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -15.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 50% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 3Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -11.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 12.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 15.5 | 50% |
| 4Q O/U 18.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State 1H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State 1H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State 2H O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State 2H O/U 4.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State 2H O/U 6.5 | 50% |
| Toledo 2H O/U 20.5 | 50% |
| Toledo 2H O/U 22.5 | 50% |
| Toledo 2H O/U 24.5 | 50% |
| Central Connecticut State 1H O/U 8.5 | 50% |
| 1H Moneyline | 50% |
| Toledo 1H O/U 26.5 | 50% |
| Spread -32.5 | 49% |
| O/U 58.5 | 48% |
| Spread -38.5 | 48% |
| Spread -35.5 | 47% |
| O/U 56.5 | 46% |
| Spread -37.5 | 45% |
| Spread -36.5 | 44% |
| O/U 62.5 | 38% |
| O/U 60.5 | 37% |
| O/U 64.5 | 37% |
| Spread -39.5 | 37% |
| Spread -40.5 | 37% |
| Spread -41.5 | 35% |
| O/U 66.5 | 34% |
| Spread -42.5 | 33% |
| Spread -44.5 | 33% |
| O/U 68.5 | 32% |
| Spread -43.5 | 32% |
| O/U 70.5 | 31% |
| Spread -46.5 | 30% |
| O/U 74.5 | 28% |
| O/U 76.5 | 27% |
| O/U 72.5 | 24% |
| Central Connecticut State vs. Toledo | 2% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 91% YES probability for Central Connecticut State vs. Toledo. In the upcoming college football game between Central Connecticut State and Toledo, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Central Connecticut State" if Central Connecti…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $128K.
Methodology
We track Central Connecticut State vs. Toledo across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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