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Sacramento State vs. Fresno State

Five-platform snapshot of "Sacramento State vs. Fresno State" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Spread: Fresno State (-18.5) 100% O/U 45.5 100% Spread -0.5 100% Spread -1.5 100% Volume: $48K Closes: 13 Sept 2026
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Sacramento State vs. Fresno State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Spread: Fresno State (-18.5)100%
O/U 45.5100%
Spread -0.5100%
Spread -1.5100%
Spread -2.5100%
Spread -3.5100%
Spread -4.5100%
Spread -5.5100%
Spread -6.5100%
Spread -7.5100%
Spread -8.5100%
Spread -10.5100%
Spread -13.5100%
Spread -14.5100%
Spread -16.5100%
Spread -17.5100%
Spread -20.5100%
Spread -21.5100%
Spread -24.5100%
Spread -27.5100%
Spread -31.5100%
Spread -34.5100%
O/U 25.5100%
O/U 27.5100%
O/U 29.5100%
O/U 31.5100%
O/U 33.5100%
O/U 35.5100%
O/U 37.5100%
O/U 39.5100%
O/U 41.5100%
O/U 43.5100%
O/U 47.5100%
O/U 49.5100%
O/U 51.5100%
Fresno State O/U 3.5100%
1H Spread -8.5100%
1H Spread -9.5100%
1H Spread -10.5100%
1H Spread -11.5100%
1H Spread -12.5100%
2H Spread -5.5100%
2H Spread -6.5100%
2H Spread -7.5100%
2H Spread -8.5100%
2H Spread -9.5100%
2Q Spread -4.5100%
2Q Spread -5.5100%
2Q Spread -6.5100%
2Q Spread -7.5100%
2Q Spread -8.5100%
3Q Spread -1.5100%
3Q Spread -2.5100%
3Q Spread -3.5100%
3Q Spread -4.5100%
3Q Spread -5.5100%
4Q Spread -1.5100%
4Q Spread -2.5100%
Fresno State O/U 26.5100%
Fresno State O/U 29.5100%
Fresno State O/U 32.5100%
Fresno State O/U 35.5100%
Fresno State O/U 38.5100%
Fresno State 1H O/U 14.5100%
Fresno State 1H O/U 16.5100%
Fresno State 1H O/U 18.5100%
Fresno State 2H O/U 12.5100%
Fresno State 2H O/U 14.5100%
Fresno State 2H O/U 16.5100%
O/U 44.5100%
Fresno State O/U 25.5100%
Fresno State O/U 28.5100%
Fresno State O/U 31.5100%
Fresno State O/U 34.5100%
Fresno State O/U 37.5100%
Fresno State 2H O/U 11.5100%
Fresno State 2H O/U 13.5100%
Fresno State 2H O/U 15.5100%
Spread -9.5100%
Spread -11.5100%
Spread -12.5100%
Spread -15.5100%
Spread -19.5100%
Spread -22.5100%
Spread -23.5100%
Spread -25.5100%
Spread -26.5100%
Spread -28.5100%
Spread -32.5100%
Spread -35.5100%
Spread -38.5100%
1H Spread -6.5100%
1H Spread -13.5100%
1H O/U 17.5100%
1H O/U 20.5100%
1H O/U 23.5100%
1H O/U 26.5100%
1H O/U 29.5100%
2H Spread -4.5100%
2H Spread -11.5100%
2H O/U 14.5100%
2H O/U 17.5100%
2Q Spread -2.5100%
2Q Spread -9.5100%
2Q O/U 7.5100%
2Q O/U 10.5100%
2Q O/U 13.5100%
2Q O/U 16.5100%
2Q O/U 19.5100%
3Q Spread -0.5100%
3Q Spread -7.5100%
3Q O/U 2.5100%
3Q O/U 5.5100%
3Q O/U 8.5100%
3Q O/U 11.5100%
3Q O/U 14.5100%
4Q Spread -0.5100%
Fresno State O/U 24.5100%
Fresno State O/U 27.5100%
Fresno State O/U 30.5100%
Fresno State O/U 33.5100%
Fresno State O/U 36.5100%
Rayshon Luke: Anytime Touchdown100%
Bryson Donelson: Anytime Touchdown100%
Jayden Mandal: Anytime Touchdown100%
Ezekiel Avit: Anytime Touchdown100%
1Q Moneyline50%
Sacramento State vs. Fresno State0%
O/U 53.50%
O/U 55.50%
O/U 57.50%
O/U 59.50%
O/U 61.50%
O/U 63.50%
O/U 65.50%
2H Moneyline0%
Sacramento State O/U 1.50%
1H Moneyline0%
1Q Spread -2.50%
1Q Spread -3.50%
1Q Spread -4.50%
1Q Spread -5.50%
1Q Spread -6.50%
2Q Moneyline0%
3Q Moneyline0%
4Q Spread -3.50%
4Q Spread -4.50%
4Q Spread -5.50%
4Q Moneyline0%
Sacramento State O/U 7.50%
Sacramento State O/U 10.50%
Sacramento State O/U 13.50%
Sacramento State O/U 16.50%
Sacramento State O/U 19.50%
Sacramento State 1H O/U 4.50%
Sacramento State 1H O/U 6.50%
Sacramento State 1H O/U 8.50%
Sacramento State 2H O/U 4.50%
Sacramento State 2H O/U 6.50%
Sacramento State 2H O/U 8.50%
Spread -2.50%
2H O/U 20.50%
2H O/U 23.50%
2H O/U 26.50%
1Q Spread -0.50%
1Q Spread -7.50%
1Q O/U 3.50%
1Q O/U 6.50%
1Q O/U 9.50%
1Q O/U 12.50%
1Q O/U 15.50%
4Q Spread -7.50%
4Q O/U 4.50%
4Q O/U 7.50%
4Q O/U 10.50%
4Q O/U 13.50%
4Q O/U 16.50%
Josiah Freeman: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jamar Curtis: Anytime Touchdown0%
Tariq Thomas: Anytime Touchdown0%
Cincere Rhaney: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jahlil McClain: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jake Appleget: Anytime Touchdown0%
Matthew Coleman: Anytime Touchdown0%
Harold Duvall: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jace Wilson: Anytime Touchdown0%
Onterrio Smith Jr.: Anytime Touchdown0%
Elias Brown: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jackson Sharman: Anytime Touchdown0%
Jordan Williams: Anytime Touchdown0%
Kenyon Shabazz: Anytime Touchdown0%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, sacramento state vs. fresno state stands at 100% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming college football game between Sacramento State and Fresno State, scheduled for September 12 at 10:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Sacramento State" if Sacrame…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices Spread: Fresno State (-18.5) at 100% for "Sacramento State vs. Fresno State".

Spread: Fresno State (-18.5) 100% Other 0%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $48K.

Methodology

This page reviews Sacramento State vs. Fresno State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
and

Trade Sacramento State vs. Fresno State on PolyGram

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Related Topics

Sports