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SMU vs. Florida State

How the prediction-market book is pricing "SMU vs. Florida State" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 33.5 92% O/U 35.5 89% O/U 37.5 86% O/U 39.5 85% Volume: $90K Liquidity: $2.0M Closes: 7 Sept 2026
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SMU vs. Florida State

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
92% 8% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
92% 8% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 33.592%
O/U 35.589%
O/U 37.586%
O/U 39.585%
O/U 41.580%
Florida State O/U 18.578%
O/U 43.576%
SMU O/U 21.576%
Florida State O/U 19.575%
SMU O/U 22.574%
O/U 45.573%
Florida State O/U 20.570%
O/U 47.567%
Florida State O/U 21.567%
O/U 49.565%
Florida State O/U 22.565%
SMU O/U 24.564%
SMU O/U 25.563%
Florida State O/U 23.560%
O/U 51.559%
SMU vs. Florida State57%
O/U 52.556%
Spread -0.556%
1H Moneyline56%
O/U 53.555%
Spread -1.555%
SMU 1H O/U 13.555%
Florida State O/U 24.554%
SMU O/U 27.553%
Florida State 1H O/U 12.553%
Florida State O/U 25.553%
O/U 54.553%
Spread: SMU (-2.5)52%
1H Spread -0.552%
SMU O/U 1.552%
1Q Moneyline51%
2Q Moneyline51%
3Q Moneyline51%
4Q Moneyline51%
Florida State 1H O/U 10.551%
SMU 1H O/U 11.551%
SMU 2H O/U 11.551%
SMU 2H O/U 13.551%
Florida State 2H O/U 13.551%
Florida State 2H O/U 15.551%
Quintrevion Wisner: Anytime Touchdown51%
Christian Rhodes: Anytime Touchdown51%
Jalen Hale: Anytime Touchdown51%
Desirrio Riles: Anytime Touchdown51%
Isaiah Robertson: Anytime Touchdown51%
SMU O/U 0.551%
Florida State 1H O/U 11.551%
SMU 2H O/U 12.551%
SMU 2H O/U 14.551%
SMU 2H O/U 16.551%
SMU 1H O/U 12.551%
2H Moneyline50%
1H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
Florida State O/U 26.550%
Florida State 1H O/U 14.550%
SMU 1H O/U 15.550%
SMU 2H O/U 15.550%
Florida State 2H O/U 11.550%
Dramekco Green: Anytime Touchdown50%
Florida State O/U 0.550%
Florida State 1H O/U 13.550%
Florida State 1H O/U 15.550%
SMU 1H O/U 14.550%
SMU 1H O/U 16.550%
SMU O/U 28.549%
O/U 55.548%
1H Spread -2.548%
4Q Spread -1.548%
SMU O/U 3.548%
1Q Spread -0.547%
2H Spread -1.546%
2Q Spread -0.546%
2H Spread -2.545%
4Q Spread -0.545%
Florida State O/U 27.545%
2Q Spread -1.544%
Spread -3.543%
3Q Spread -0.543%
SMU O/U 30.543%
Spread -4.542%
O/U 57.542%
1Q Spread -2.542%
3Q Spread -1.542%
1H Spread -3.541%
2Q Spread -2.541%
Spread -5.540%
2H Spread -3.540%
3Q Spread -2.540%
Florida State O/U 28.540%
Florida State O/U 3.540%
Spread -6.539%
4Q Spread -2.539%
Florida State O/U 29.539%
O/U 59.537%
SMU O/U 31.537%
Spread -34.535%
Florida State O/U 30.535%
SMU O/U 33.534%
Spread -7.533%
O/U 61.532%
Kendrick Raphael: Anytime Touchdown32%
SMU O/U 2.531%
Florida State O/U 1.531%
Florida State O/U 31.530%
Spread -8.529%
Ousmane Kromah: Anytime Touchdown29%
O/U 63.528%
Florida State O/U 32.528%
SMU O/U 34.528%
Spread -31.527%
Samuel Singleton Jr.: Anytime Touchdown26%
Spread -10.525%
O/U 65.525%
Derrick McFall: Anytime Touchdown25%
Florida State O/U 2.525%
Ashton Daniels: Anytime Touchdown22%
Spread -13.521%
O/U 67.521%
Duce Robinson: Anytime Touchdown21%
Yamir Knight: Anytime Touchdown20%
SMU O/U 3.519%
Spread -14.518%
Micahi Danzy: Anytime Touchdown18%
Yannick Smith: Anytime Touchdown18%
O/U 69.517%
Spread -16.516%
Jalen Cooper: Anytime Touchdown16%
Theo Melin Ohrstrom: Anytime Touchdown16%
Randy Pittman Jr.: Anytime Touchdown16%
Spread -17.514%
O/U 71.514%
Kevin Jennings: Anytime Touchdown14%
Jayvan Boggs: Anytime Touchdown14%
Landen Thomas: Anytime Touchdown14%
O/U 73.513%
Florida State O/U 3.512%
Spread -20.511%
Spread -21.510%
Spread -24.57%
Spread -27.55%

Market context

Market consensus: 92% chance of smu vs. florida state. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. In the upcoming college football game, scheduled for September 7 at 7:30PM ET: If SMU wins, the market will resolve to "SMU". If Florida State wins, the market will resolve to "Flo…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 33.5 at 92% for "SMU vs. Florida State".

O/U 33.5 92% Other 8%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $90K.

Methodology

This page reviews SMU vs. Florida State across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade SMU vs. Florida State on PolyGram

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Related Topics

Sports