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UCF vs. Pittsburgh

How the prediction-market book is pricing "UCF vs. Pittsburgh" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

O/U 38.5 74% O/U 36.5 71% O/U 40.5 71% O/U 42.5 69% Volume: $330K Liquidity: $220K Closes: 12 Sept 2026
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UCF vs. Pittsburgh

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
74% 26% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
74% 26% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
O/U 38.574%
O/U 36.571%
O/U 40.571%
O/U 42.569%
O/U 44.561%
O/U 46.561%
Spread -9.559%
Spread -1.556%
Spread -2.556%
Spread -3.555%
O/U 50.554%
Spread -6.552%
Spread -4.551%
UCF O/U 0.550%
UCF O/U 1.550%
UCF O/U 2.550%
UCF O/U 3.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 0.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 1.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 2.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 3.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -31.550%
Spread -34.550%
2H Moneyline50%
Ja'Kyrian Turner: Anytime Touchdown50%
Cataurus Hicks: Anytime Touchdown50%
Alonza Barnett III: Anytime Touchdown50%
Malik Knight: Anytime Touchdown50%
Duke Watson: Anytime Touchdown50%
Censere Lee: Anytime Touchdown50%
Dylan Wade: Anytime Touchdown50%
La'Vell Wright: Anytime Touchdown50%
Mason Heintschel: Anytime Touchdown50%
Landen Chambers: Anytime Touchdown50%
Jonathan Bibbs: Anytime Touchdown50%
Carson Kent: Anytime Touchdown50%
Josh Derry: Anytime Touchdown50%
Tony Kinsler: Anytime Touchdown50%
Ric'Darious Farmer: Anytime Touchdown50%
Waden Charles: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Spread -3.550%
1H Spread -5.550%
1H Moneyline50%
2H Spread -1.550%
2H Spread -2.550%
2H Spread -3.550%
2H Spread -4.550%
2H Spread -5.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -2.550%
1Q Moneyline50%
2Q Spread -0.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -2.550%
2Q Spread -3.550%
2Q Spread -4.550%
2Q Moneyline50%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -2.550%
3Q Moneyline50%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -2.550%
4Q Moneyline50%
UCF O/U 18.550%
UCF O/U 21.550%
UCF O/U 24.550%
UCF O/U 27.550%
UCF O/U 30.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 26.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 29.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 32.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 35.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 38.550%
Pittsburgh 1H O/U 14.550%
Pittsburgh 1H O/U 16.550%
Pittsburgh 1H O/U 18.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 4.550%
UCF O/U 3.550%
UCF 1H O/U 10.550%
UCF 1H O/U 12.550%
UCF 1H O/U 14.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 25.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 28.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 31.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 34.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 37.550%
2H Spread -0.550%
Taevion Swint: Anytime Touchdown50%
Justin Cook: Anytime Touchdown50%
Bryce Yates: Anytime Touchdown50%
Duane Thomas Jr.: Anytime Touchdown50%
Elijah Lagg: Anytime Touchdown50%
Demetrice McCray: Anytime Touchdown50%
1H Spread -1.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 27.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 30.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 33.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 36.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 39.550%
UCF 2H O/U 10.550%
UCF 2H O/U 12.550%
UCF 2H O/U 14.550%
Pittsburgh 2H O/U 12.550%
Pittsburgh 2H O/U 14.550%
Pittsburgh 2H O/U 16.550%
UCF O/U 2.550%
UCF O/U 17.550%
UCF O/U 20.550%
UCF O/U 23.550%
UCF O/U 26.550%
UCF O/U 29.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
UCF 1H O/U 9.550%
UCF 1H O/U 11.550%
UCF 1H O/U 13.550%
1Q Spread -4.550%
UCF 2H O/U 11.550%
UCF 2H O/U 13.550%
UCF 2H O/U 15.550%
UCF 1H O/U 8.550%
Spread -12.550%
Spread -8.550%
Spread -6.550%
Spread -0.550%
Spread -22.550%
Spread -25.550%
Spread -28.550%
1H Spread -0.550%
1H O/U 22.550%
1H O/U 25.550%
1H O/U 28.550%
1H O/U 31.550%
1H O/U 34.550%
2H Spread -7.550%
2H O/U 21.550%
2H O/U 24.550%
2H O/U 27.550%
2H O/U 30.550%
2H O/U 33.550%
1Q Spread -3.550%
1Q Spread -1.550%
1Q Spread -0.550%
1Q O/U 5.550%
1Q O/U 8.550%
1Q O/U 11.550%
1Q O/U 14.550%
1Q O/U 17.550%
2Q Spread -1.550%
2Q Spread -5.550%
2Q O/U 10.550%
2Q O/U 13.550%
2Q O/U 16.550%
2Q O/U 19.550%
2Q O/U 22.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q Spread -1.550%
3Q Spread -0.550%
3Q Spread -3.550%
3Q O/U 6.550%
3Q O/U 9.550%
3Q O/U 12.550%
3Q O/U 15.550%
3Q O/U 18.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q Spread -1.550%
4Q Spread -0.550%
4Q Spread -3.550%
4Q O/U 8.550%
4Q O/U 11.550%
4Q O/U 14.550%
4Q O/U 17.550%
4Q O/U 20.550%
Pittsburgh O/U 3.550%
UCF 2H O/U 9.550%
Spread -21.549%
Spread -5.547%
O/U 54.547%
O/U 48.546%
1H Spread -2.545%
O/U 55.545%
Spread -7.544%
Spread -12.542%
1H Spread -6.541%
Spread -10.539%
O/U 51.538%
Spread -8.537%
Spread -11.537%
Spread -13.536%
Spread -20.534%
O/U 52.534%
O/U 62.534%
Spread -15.534%
O/U 56.533%
Spread -14.533%
Spread -27.533%
1H Spread -7.532%
Spread -16.531%
O/U 64.531%
Spread -5.531%
Spread -18.531%
UCF vs. Pittsburgh30%
O/U 68.530%
Spread -17.529%
O/U 57.528%
O/U 70.528%
O/U 72.528%
1H Spread -4.528%
O/U 74.527%
O/U 76.527%
Spread -9.526%
O/U 66.525%
Spread -2.524%
O/U 58.522%
O/U 60.522%
Spread -24.512%

Market context

The UCF vs. Pittsburgh prediction market currently prices this outcome at 74% YES. In the upcoming college football game between UCF and Pittsburgh, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "UCF" if UCF win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburg…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book prices O/U 38.5 at 74% for "UCF vs. Pittsburgh".

O/U 38.5 74% Other 26%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $330K.

Methodology

This page reviews UCF vs. Pittsburgh across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
and

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Related Topics

Sports