Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Spread -0.5 | 100% |
| Spread -1.5 | 100% |
| 2H Moneyline | 100% |
| Utah State O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| Utah State O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| Utah State O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| Utah State O/U 8.5 | 100% |
| Utah State O/U 11.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 4.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 6.5 | 100% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 5.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 100% |
| 2Q O/U 16.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 100% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 100% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 91% |
| Utah State O/U 1.5 | 91% |
| Utah State O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Utah State O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 0.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 1.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 2.5 | 50% |
| Washington O/U 3.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Trey Cooley: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Demond Williams Jr.: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Dezmen Roebuck: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Rashid Williams: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Javen Jacobs: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Eli Wood: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Decker DeGraaf: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Javon Robinson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Chris Lawson: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Anthony Garcia: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Demick Starling: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Kache Kaio: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Jayden Limar: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Christian Moss: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| McCae Hillstead: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Sesi Vailahi: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| Noah White: Anytime Touchdown | 50% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -11.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -12.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -5.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Washington O/U 5.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 17.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 21.5 | 10% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 8.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 18.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| Washington 2H O/U 15.5 | 10% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 7.5 | 10% |
| Utah State 2H O/U 9.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -15.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 20.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 23.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 26.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 29.5 | 10% |
| 2H O/U 32.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 10% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 16.5 | 10% |
| 4Q O/U 19.5 | 10% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 10% |
| O/U 54.5 | 1% |
| O/U 56.5 | 1% |
| O/U 35.5 | 1% |
| O/U 37.5 | 1% |
| O/U 41.5 | 1% |
| O/U 43.5 | 1% |
| O/U 47.5 | 1% |
| O/U 49.5 | 1% |
| O/U 51.5 | 1% |
| O/U 53.5 | 1% |
| O/U 61.5 | 1% |
| O/U 65.5 | 1% |
| O/U 67.5 | 1% |
| O/U 71.5 | 1% |
| O/U 73.5 | 1% |
| Washington O/U 41.5 | 1% |
| Washington O/U 34.5 | 1% |
| Utah State O/U 14.5 | 1% |
| Spread -44.5 | 1% |
| Spread -48.5 | 1% |
| Utah State vs. Washington | 0% |
| Spread -24.5 | 0% |
| Spread -26.5 | 0% |
| Spread -27.5 | 0% |
| Spread -25.5 | 0% |
| O/U 55.5 | 0% |
| Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| Spread -3.5 | 0% |
| Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -20.5 | 0% |
| Spread -21.5 | 0% |
| Spread -31.5 | 0% |
| Spread -34.5 | 0% |
| O/U 39.5 | 0% |
| O/U 45.5 | 0% |
| O/U 57.5 | 0% |
| O/U 59.5 | 0% |
| O/U 63.5 | 0% |
| O/U 69.5 | 0% |
| O/U 75.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -12.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -15.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 0% |
| 1H Moneyline | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -8.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 38.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 44.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 47.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 24.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 9.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 37.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 40.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 43.5 | 0% |
| Washington O/U 46.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 17.5 | 0% |
| Utah State O/U 20.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 21.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 25.5 | 0% |
| Utah State 1H O/U 8.5 | 0% |
| Washington 1H O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 0% |
| Spread -11.5 | 0% |
| Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| Spread -22.5 | 0% |
| Spread -23.5 | 0% |
| Spread -28.5 | 0% |
| Spread -29.5 | 0% |
| Spread -30.5 | 0% |
| Spread -32.5 | 0% |
| Spread -33.5 | 0% |
| Spread -35.5 | 0% |
| Spread -36.5 | 0% |
| Spread -38.5 | 0% |
| Spread -41.5 | 0% |
| Spread -42.5 | 0% |
| Spread -45.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -19.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 23.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 26.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 29.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 32.5 | 0% |
| 1H O/U 35.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 1Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q O/U 22.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 0% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 16.5 | 0% |
| 3Q O/U 19.5 | 0% |
| 2Q Spread -5.5 | 0% |
| 1H Spread -18.5 | 0% |
Market context
Traders on decentralised prediction markets give 100% probability to utah state vs. washington. In the upcoming college football game between Utah State and Washington, scheduled for September 12 at 3:30PM ET: This market will resolve to "Utah State" if Utah State win the game. This market will …
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $242K.
Methodology
We track Utah State vs. Washington across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
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