Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
94% | 6% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
94% | 6% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Any Other Score | 94% |
| Brentford FC 0 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 15% |
| Brentford FC 1 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 14% |
| Brentford FC 2 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 10% |
| Brentford FC 2 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 9% |
| Brentford FC 3 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 9% |
| Brentford FC 3 - 3 Eintracht Frankfurt | 9% |
| Brentford FC 0 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 7% |
| Brentford FC 3 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 5% |
| Brentford FC 2 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3% |
| Brentford FC 3 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 3% |
| Brentford FC 1 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1% |
| Brentford FC 2 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1% |
| Brentford FC 1 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 1% |
| Brentford FC 0 - 1 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0% |
| Brentford FC 1 - 0 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0% |
| Brentford FC 0 - 2 Eintracht Frankfurt | 0% |
Market context
Brentford FC will host Eintracht Frankfurt in a pre-season friendly on 15 August 2026, with settlement contingent on the exact final score. The Polymarket contract currently prices any specific scoreline at 7% implied probability, reflecting the wide distribution of possible outcomes across dozens of listed results and the catch-all "Any Other Score" category. USDC liquidity on Polygon underpins this pricing, with conditional tokens settling only if the match concludes with the exact scoreline matched to the contract specification.
Exact-score markets in club friendlies historically cluster around lower probabilities because friendlies feature unpredictable team selection, tactical experimentation, and substitution patterns that differ markedly from competitive fixtures. Comparable August friendlies involving Premier League sides typically see winning scorelines (1–0, 2–1) trade between 8–12% individually, whilst draws and higher-scoring lines occupy similar ranges. The 7% current price sits within this expected range, suggesting the market has already priced in the inherent variance of pre-season play.
Traders should monitor squad news from both clubs through early August, particularly injury updates and whether either side fields a full-strength XI or rotates heavily. Brentford's fixture schedule leading into the 2026–27 season and Frankfurt's European commitments will shape team preparation intensity. Weather conditions on match day and venue capacity could influence playing style, though these remain unknowns until closer to the settlement window. The market remains open until 16:00 UTC on 15 August, allowing settlement confirmation after final whistle.
Methodology
This page reviews Brentford FC vs. Eintracht Frankfurt - Exact Score across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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