Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
65% | 35% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
65% | 35% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bohemian FC | 65% |
| Draw | 23% |
| FC Ballkani | 14% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this Bohemian FC vs FC Ballkani contract at **65% YES** on USDC-backed conditional tokens settled on Polygon, which implies the market is leaning towards the named Conference League fixture taking place as specified. The underlying event is the UEFA Europa Conference League qualifying tie in Dublin, with listings showing a Wednesday 22 July 2026 kick-off at Dalymount Park and local start time around 19:00.[2][5]
A 65% price is usually read as a moderate favourite, not a certainty, and that matters in qualification football where venue, timing and administrative details can still move fast. Comparable first-leg European qualifiers are often priced around team reputation, home advantage and whether the fixture is confirmed on the official schedule rather than on scoreline expectations alone; current match directories all already list Bohemian against Ballkani for 22 July, which supports the basic event premise more than the result.[1][2][3][5]
For traders, the main catalysts are any late schedule changes, venue or registration updates, and whether UEFA or club channels confirm the match exactly as listed before settlement. Because this market resolves on whether the specified fixture occurs by the window end, even small changes in kick-off time, postponement or cancellation can matter more than team news; Bohemians’ and Ballkani’s public match listings are the key reference points to watch into the deadline.[1][2][5]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $134K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Bohemian FC vs. FC Ballkani on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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