NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Koper

Platform comparison

Market context

NSÍ Runavík vs FC Koper is a UEFA Conference League qualifying tie scheduled for Thursday evening, with the Polymarket contract still marked at **0% YES** and settled in **USDC on Polygon** through conditional tokens. That price reads as a near-certain view that the market has already been resolved or effectively cannot pay out on a YES outcome, rather than a live assessment of the football itself.

For context, qualifying-round markets in European competition often move hard on team news and official competition data because the result itself is binary and the settlement rules are tightly tied to the stated fixture. In this case, the comparable reference point is the match listing itself, which shows the game at Við Djúpumýrar in the second qualifying round and, separately, records a 2-0 win for FC Koper.[1] Sky Sports also lists the fixture as a 7:45pm kick-off on 23 July 2026, which is the sort of schedule detail traders watch when checking whether a market is aligned with the real-world event being settled.[2]

The main catalysts for a Polymarket user are official match confirmation, any changes to kick-off timing, and whether the final score and competition round match the contract’s exact wording. Because settlement is driven by the underlying event rather than the exchange price, the key question is whether the on-chain market references the same fixture, not just the same clubs. If there is any discrepancy in team naming, leg designation, or match date, that can matter more than pre-match form.

Sources: 1 · 2

Methodology

This page reviews NSÍ Runavík vs. FC Koper across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.