The Hundred: Birmingham Phoenix vs Sunrisers Leeds

Platform comparison

Market context

The Hundred men’s match between Birmingham Phoenix and Sunrisers Leeds is priced at **0% YES** on Polymarket, meaning the crowd has effectively written off a Phoenix win in USDC on Polygon via the market’s conditional tokens. That is consistent with the live result: Sunrisers Leeds posted 169 for 7 and then defeated Phoenix by 45 runs at Edgbaston, which settles the contract as an ordinary Sunrisers win under the market rules, including any outcome decided by DLS, penalties or an on-field tiebreak if one had been needed.[1][2]

For traders, the useful frame is that this is not a speculative toss-up but a closed competitive outcome that the market had already discounted to zero. The two sides had also met in the men’s Hundred last season, when Phoenix beat Sunrisers by six wickets, so the current price tells you more about this season’s form and in-play state than about any permanent head-to-head edge.[10] Recent comparable cases from Edgbaston show how quickly the market can re-rate once batting conditions and scoreboard pressure become clear: Sunrisers’ women beat Phoenix there earlier in the day, and the men then converted a strong total into a comfortable win, reinforcing the same venue-specific read.[3][4]

A trader watching this contract should focus on the competition’s official scorecard and match report rather than pre-match previews, because settlement follows the declared cricket result, not a forecast. The fixture was listed as a day/night Twenty20-style Hundred match at Edgbaston, with coverage beginning at 18:30 UK time, and the live scoring source now shows Sunrisers ahead on both runs and points implications, leaving little room for ambiguity unless there were an extraordinary administrative reversal.[2][5][13]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.