Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds | 100% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds - Who wins the toss? | 100% |
| The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds - Completed match? | 100% |
Market context
Polymarket’s contract is pricing **100% YES** for Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds, so the on-chain market on Polygon is already treating an official Rockets victory as fully locked in rather than a live two-sided contest. Settlement is tied to the final result published by ESPNcricinfo, and any ordinary on-field outcome recognised by the competition — including DLS, a Super Over, or a forfeit/walkover — counts for resolution on the conditional token position.
That extreme price is best read against how these teams have met and performed at Trent Bridge. The same fixture has been competitive in recent seasons, with Trent Rockets beating Sunrisers Leeds by five runs in the women’s match at Trent Bridge and by five wickets in a men’s meeting at the same ground last year, while a 2026 preview noted both sides arriving with two wins from three and Rockets holding a narrow edge in recent head-to-heads. Recent scorecards also show Trent Rockets and Sunrisers Leeds both operating in the upper half of the table, which normally leaves little room for a pre-result market to be treated as certain before the official score is posted.
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: the toss, any rain interruption, and whether the fixture is completed cleanly enough for ESPNcricinfo to publish a final result before the settlement window closes. BBC live coverage listed the match at Trent Bridge with the Rockets winning the toss and choosing to bat, while ESPN’s fixture page confirms the scheduled 2 August 2026 match and the competition context. If weather or stoppages force a revised chase, the market still resolves off the official on-field outcome, so the relevant dependency is the final scorecard rather than in-play volatility alone.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $100K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade The Hundred: Trent Rockets vs Sunrisers Leeds on PolyGram
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