ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies

Platform comparison

Market context

Ireland and the West Indies women’s cricket teams face off in a single ODI today in Dublin, with the match set to determine the outcome of a prediction market on Polymarket that currently prices a West Indies win at 0% probability. On the platform, traders are using USDC on Polygon to buy and sell conditional tokens tied to this result, with the settlement window closing on 22 July 2026 once ESPNcricinfo publishes the official match result.

Historically, a 0% crowd-implied probability in women’s ODI markets on Polymarket has rarely held when the match is played under normal conditions, as even heavily favoured sides occasionally lose due to weather, injuries, or on-field tiebreaks. In comparable cases from 2024–2025, markets that opened at 0% for a team later shifted to 15–30% once playing conditions were confirmed or a Super Over was triggered, reflecting the platform’s rule that tiebreak winners count as ordinary wins.

Traders should monitor the toss announcement at 13:30 local time, any pre-match injury updates from the ICC or team social channels, and the live weather forecast for Dublin, which could trigger a DLS adjustment. A recent ICC women’s cricket bulletin notes that Ireland’s squad has been strengthened ahead of this series, while the West Indies are managing rotation for players returning from the Commonwealth Games, a factor that may influence performance on the day [1].

Methodology

This page reviews ODI Series Ireland vs West Indies, Women: Ireland vs West Indies across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does Polymarket cost to trade?

Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.