Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 100% |
| Match Winner | 0% |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Noir Verse (-3.5) vs Atputies (+3.5) | 0% |
Market context
The Urban Riga Open #6 Group A Round 2 match between Noir Verse and Atputies represents a lower-tier Counter-Strike fixture scheduled for 27 July at 08:00 ET. Polymarket currently prices this contract at 0% YES, reflecting either minimal liquidity on the Polygon-based USDC pair or genuine uncertainty about whether the match will proceed as scheduled. The settlement mechanics hinge on match completion: conditional tokens resolve to Noir Verse holders only if that team secures victory in the best-of-one format, whilst Atputies backers require the opposing outcome. Should the match be delayed beyond seven days without resolution or cancelled entirely, the contract settles 50-50, returning capital proportionally to both sides of the conditional token pair.
Comparable regional Eastern European Counter-Strike tournaments have experienced scheduling volatility, particularly in Group A fixtures where lower-ranked squads compete. Tier-three events frequently encounter postponements due to player availability or organisational constraints, making the seven-day cancellation threshold material to traders. The current 0% pricing suggests the market is either illiquid or pricing in material risk that the match does not complete within the settlement window.
Traders should monitor the Urban Riga Open's official communications for fixture confirmations and any roster changes affecting either team. Noir Verse and Atputies' recent tournament participation and travel logistics to Riga warrant attention, as do any announcements from the event organiser regarding Group A scheduling. The 27 July 18:20 UTC settlement deadline provides a narrow window for match completion, making schedule adherence the primary catalyst for contract resolution.
Methodology
This page reviews Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Atputies (BO1) - Urban Riga Open #6 Group A across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
Trade Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Atputies (BO1) - Urban… on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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