Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open the market → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open the market → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open the market → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open the market → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open the market → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| AC Horsens 0 - 2 Brøndby IF | 100% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 0 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 0 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 1 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 1 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 2 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 2 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| AC Horsens 3 - 3 Brøndby IF | 0% |
| Any Other Score | 0% |
Market context
Polymarket is pricing this exact-score contract at **0% YES**, which means the market is effectively saying that none of the listed scorelines is being assigned any meaningful probability on the current order book. On Polymarket, the position is settled in USDC on Polygon through conditional tokens, so the contract is not about whether Brøndby win in general, but about whether the final 90-minute score lands on one of the named outcomes; anything else falls into *Any Other Score* under the market rules.
The historical frame points to Brøndby having the stronger recent head-to-head position. FotMob’s match record shows Brøndby with 10 wins, AC Horsens with 8, and 5 draws across their meetings, while FootyStats and SoccerPunter both show Brøndby ahead overall in the series and the recent Superliga meetings have often produced narrow away wins rather than high-scoring blowouts.[1][7][14] That matters for exact-score markets because a low-priced contract can still be vulnerable if the market’s listed score grid does not match the kind of result these teams have recently generated. Recent fixtures also suggest modest scoring patterns: Brøndby’s 1-0 win over Viborg and Horsens’ 2-1 defeat at Midtjylland were both one-goal games in early August, while ESPN’s fixture page shows the match entering as a standard league game with both sides already carrying early-season results into it.[6][8]
A trader should watch for any late schedule change, team news, or line-up adjustment, because exact-score pricing is sensitive to even small shifts in expected goals. The market description makes clear that only regulation plus stoppage time counts, so postponement or rescheduling would keep the contract open until the match is actually completed; if the fixture is abandoned or cancelled, resolution follows the venue’s rules rather than the live score path. The main practical catalyst is therefore confirmation that the game is played as listed, plus any squad or availability updates before kick-off that could move the probability away from “Any Other Score” and towards a specific scoreline.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to PolyGram, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.
On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What does Polymarket cost to trade?
- Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade AC Horsens vs. Brøndby IF - Exact Score on PolyGram
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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