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Randers FC vs. FC København - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Randers FC vs. FC København - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

FC København (-1.5) 100% FC København (-2.5) 100% O/U 0.5 100% O/U 1.5 100% Volume: $79K Liquidity: $2K Closes: 16 Aug 2026
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Randers FC vs. FC København - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
FC København (-1.5)100%
FC København (-2.5)100%
O/U 0.5100%
O/U 1.5100%
O/U 2.5100%
O/U 3.5100%
1st Half O/U 0.5100%
1st Half O/U 1.5100%
1st Half O/U 2.5100%
FC København O/U 0.5100%
FC København O/U 1.5100%
FC København O/U 2.5100%
FC København 1st Half O/U 0.5100%
FC København 1st Half O/U 1.5100%
2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 0.5100%
Both Teams to Score in First Half10%
Both Teams to Score in Second Half1%
Randers FC (-1.5)0%
Randers FC (-2.5)0%
O/U 4.50%
O/U 5.50%
Both Teams to Score0%
Randers FC O/U 0.50%
Randers FC O/U 1.50%
Randers FC O/U 2.50%
Randers FC 1st Half O/U 0.50%
Randers FC 1st Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 1.50%
2nd Half O/U 2.50%
Randers FC 2nd Half O/U 0.50%
Randers FC 2nd Half O/U 1.50%
FC København 2nd Half O/U 1.50%

Market context

Randers FC will host FC København in the Denmark Superliga on 16 August at 12:00 PM ET. The "More Markets" contract on Polymarket currently settles at 0% YES, reflecting minimal trading activity or conviction around whatever secondary outcomes this conditional token bundle covers. On Polygon, the USDC-denominated position carries negligible liquidity, suggesting traders have either not yet priced in the fixture's ancillary markets or are awaiting clarification on settlement criteria before deploying capital.

Historical patterns in Superliga fixtures show that secondary market contracts—those tracking assists, corner counts, or card totals rather than match results—typically remain illiquid until 48 hours before kick-off. The 0% reading here aligns with pre-announcement pricing for derivative contracts; comparable "More Markets" bundles from previous Superliga rounds have seen sharp repricing once the underlying event draws near and casual traders enter the pool. Randers and København's recent form matters less for these auxiliary outcomes than fixture-specific variables: pitch conditions, referee assignment, and team selection announcements.

Traders should monitor official Superliga fixture confirmations and any squad news from both clubs in the week leading to 16 August. København's European commitments—if they advance in qualifying rounds—could affect squad rotation and thus the intensity metrics these secondary markets track. Polymarket's settlement oracle will require precise documentation of the match statistics, so clarity on which specific outcomes the conditional token covers remains essential before meaningful volume emerges.

Methodology

We track Randers FC vs. FC København - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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