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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets

Five-platform snapshot of "Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Game 1 Winner 100% Game 2 Winner 100% Ends in Daytime 100% First Blood in Game 1? 100% Volume: $719K Liquidity: $516K Closes: 2 Aug 2026
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Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via PolyGram) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open the market →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open the market →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open the market →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open the market →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open the market →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Game 1 Winner100%
Game 2 Winner100%
Ends in Daytime100%
First Blood in Game 1?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 2?100%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 2?100%
Both Teams Beat Roshan50%
Any Player Ultra Kill50%
Any Player Rampage50%
First Blood in Game 2?50%
Both Teams Beat Roshan1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Any Player Ultra Kill1%
Any Player Rampage1%
Ends in Daytime1%
Both Teams Destroy Barracks1%
Total Kills Over/Under 50.5 in Game 1?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 65.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2?1%
Total Kills Over/Under 55.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 60.5 in Game 1?0%
Total Kills Over/Under 45.5 in Game 1?0%

Market context

Team Liquid vs GamerLegion is priced at **100% YES** on Polymarket, so the contract is already trading as if the series will deliver the listed outcome and there is effectively no residual probability left for a miss. Because the market settles through Polymarket’s standard USDC-backed, Polygon-based conditional token structure, the key practical question is not abstract match quality but whether the scheduled best-of-two actually starts and resolves within the settlement window ending 2026-08-02T01:45:00Z.

That extreme price fits the recent head-to-head record. Team Liquid have beaten GamerLegion repeatedly in 2026, including a 2-1 win at PGL Wallachia Season 8 in April and a 1-0 win at BLAST Slam VI in February, with other tracker pages also listing Liquid as unbeaten in the matchup across recent meetings.[1][3][4][12][14] For Polymarket users, that kind of one-sided history usually compresses the spread in “more markets” contracts, especially when the stronger side has already cleared the same opponent in both BO1 and BO3 formats.

The main catalysts are operational rather than stylistic: roster confirmations, event scheduling changes, and whether the series is played as planned in the stated August 1 slot. BLAST and other match trackers show these teams have met in multiple live tournament contexts already this year, so a late replacement, format change, or schedule slip would matter more here than any new statistical edge.[2][3][4] Traders should also watch for any official update from the tournament organiser or team channels, because on-chain settlement will follow the market rules and the recorded match outcome, not the wider esports narrative.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Dota 2: Team Liquid vs GamerLegion - More Markets across the five venues with material prediction-market liquidity. The probability shown is the live Polymarket mid; the comparison rows summarise how each venue treats the underlying contract — fees, KYC thresholds, settlement currency, deposit options. The highlighted row marks the cheapest route into Polymarket's order book.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
How reliable are the quoted odds?
The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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